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03.11.2026 19:45
DW Stadium

Wigan vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.8%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.2%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
1.71 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wigan Win 31.2%
Draw 31.2%
Mansfield Town Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wigan1.2
Mansfield Town1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wigan Wigan
W L L L W
6 GF / 9 GA
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
L W W D W
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
6
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
11
3.15
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wigan Wigan 17 matches
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 15 matches
Wigan Statistic Mansfield Town
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
11 Losses 6
15 Goals For 28
27 Goals Against 25
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
6 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 4
3.15 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.23 Total Shots 14.83
4.92 Corners 5.5
52.3% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Mansfield Town's more proactive style and Wigan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mansfield Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 18 points while Wigan sit 21 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mansfield Town. Wigan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wigan expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Mansfield Town in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mansfield Town having the stronger overall control.

Wigan Analysis

Wigan approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 10 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 11:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Saydee (3 goals), J. Weir (2 goals), M. Power (1 goals), with creative support from C. Barrett (2 assists), M. Power (1 assists), B. Burrows (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mansfield Town Analysis

Mansfield Town sit 12 with 18 points after 12 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:18 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Smith (6 goals), J. Russell (3 goals), N. Moriah-Welsh (3 goals), with creative support from J. Russell (3 assists), M. Smith (2 assists), N. Moriah-Welsh (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Wigan won 2 times, Mansfield Town won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Wigan's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (68.8%)
Predicted formations: Wigan 5-3-2 / Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Wigan wins 2, draws 2, Mansfield Town wins 1

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 27:11 16 28
W W W W D
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3 12 6 5 1 20:11 9 23
D W D W D
4 13 7 2 4 26:20 6 23
W W W W L
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 13 6 4 3 25:13 12 22
D W W L W
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
12 12 5 3 4 20:18 2 18
L W W D W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21
Wigan Home
13 3 1 9 11:22 -11 10
W L L L W
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two