POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
05.09.2026 12:45
Stadion Widzewa Łódź
Referee: Bartosz Frankowski, Poland
Widzew Łódź
Match Timeline
Radomiak Radom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
Conrado ↔ A. Tapsoba
Radomiak Radom
🔄
46'
Dani Silva ↔ E. Kornvig
Widzew Łódź
🟨
60'
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Widzew Łódź
🟨
71'
Fran Álvarez
Widzew Łódź
🟨
74'
Rafał Wolski
Radomiak Radom
🔄
75'
M. Fornalczyk ↔ S. Bergier
Widzew Łódź
🔄
75'
↔ I. Camara
Radomiak Radom
🔄
76'
Guilherme Luiz ↔ F. Goure
Radomiak Radom
VAR
78'
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Radomiak Radom
🟨
84'
Sebastian Bergier
Widzew Łódź
🔄
89'
R. Wolski ↔ R. Baro
Radomiak Radom
🔄
89'
R. Lumungo ↔ K. Karasek
Radomiak Radom
🟨
90+3'
Marcel Krajewski
Widzew Łódź
🔄
90+4'
S. Biuk ↔ A. Klukowski
Widzew Łódź

Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.2%
Odds 1.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.2%
1.63
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.4%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Widzew Łódź Win 87.2%
Draw 6.4%
Radomiak Radom Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Widzew Łódź1.89
Radomiak Radom1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
WWDLW
29 GF / 18 GA
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WLDWL
33 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
9
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
16
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 15 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 19 matches
Widzew Łódź Statistic Radomiak Radom
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 3
2 Losses 9
29 Goals For 33
18 Goals Against 35
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
9 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.5
15.5 Total Shots 13.67
5.33 Corners 5
46.3% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Widzew Łódź's more proactive style and Radomiak Radom's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Widzew Łódź expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Radomiak Radom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radomiak Radom having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Radomiak Radom. Radomiak Radom arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Widzew Łódź Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Widzew Łódź have collected 6 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Fran Álvarez (2 goals), Mario Garcia (1 goals), Sebastian Bergier (1 goals), with creative support from Mario Garcia (2 assists), Karol Świderski (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

Radomiak Radom sit 16 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jan Grzesik (1 goals), Rafał Wolski (1 goals), Ibrahima Camará (1 goals), with creative support from Jan Grzesik (1 assists), Luquinhas (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Widzew Łódź won 3 times, Radomiak Radom won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Widzew Łódź's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Widzew Łódź 4-4-2 / Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Widzew Łódź wins 3, draws 3, Radomiak Radom wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation