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Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Widzew Łódź Win 17.1%
Draw 7.3%
Gornik Zabrze Win 75.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Widzew Łódź1.43
Gornik Zabrze1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
WWDLW
35 GF / 25 GA
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
WLDWL
38 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
13
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
14
3.91
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 21 matches
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 26 matches
Widzew Łódź Statistic Gornik Zabrze
7 Wins 14
11 Draws 5
3 Losses 7
35 Goals For 38
25 Goals Against 28
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 5
3.91 Shots On Goal 4.65
15.09 Total Shots 13.71
6.27 Corners 5.65
48.3% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Gornik Zabrze's more proactive style and Widzew Łódź's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Gornik Zabrze look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gornik Zabrze. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Widzew Łódź expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Gornik Zabrze in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gornik Zabrze having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gornik Zabrze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 25 points while Widzew Łódź sit 13 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Widzew Łódź Analysis

Widzew Łódź are currently 13 in the standings with 9 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, while the 14:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mario García (2 goals), K. Świderski (2 goals), Fran Álvarez (2 goals), with creative support from Mario García (2 assists), K. Świderski (1 assists), M. Fornalczyk (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gornik Zabrze Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 25 points from 10 games, Gornik Zabrze bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:9 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on K. Urbański (4 goals), Peter (4 goals), E. Prekop (2 goals), with creative support from S. Liseth (2 assists), K. Urbański (1 assists), Josema Sánchez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Widzew Łódź won 1 times, Gornik Zabrze won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Widzew Łódź's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Widzew Łódź 4-1-4-1 / Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
H2H summary: Widzew Łódź wins 1, draws 3, Gornik Zabrze wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 20:10 10 26
D W D W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:9 18 25
W W W L W
3 11 6 5 0 22:9 13 23
D W W D W
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W W W W D
5 11 6 0 5 22:16 6 18
L W W W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:14 3 18
D L W W D
7 11 5 3 3 13:13 0 18
W L L W W
8 11 5 2 4 19:17 2 17
D W L W W
9 11 4 3 4 13:18 -5 15
L L W L W
10 11 3 3 5 13:16 -3 12
D W L L L
11 11 3 3 5 15:19 -4 12
W W D L L
12 10 4 0 6 13:17 -4 12
L L L L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:15 -6 11
L W W D L
14 11 1 7 3 14:15 -1 10
D L D D D
15 11 2 2 7 16:21 -5 8
L L W D L
16 10 2 2 6 9:23 -14 8
L L L D W
17 11 1 3 7 14:22 -8 6
L L L L L
18 11 2 0 9 15:26 -11 6
W L L L W
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation