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--.--.---- --:--
Western Sydney Wanderers
FT
0 - 2
Melbourne Victory
CommBank Stadium
Referee: D. Elder
Western Sydney Wanderers
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
62'
Atiya Waraga
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
65'
L. D'Arrigo ↔ J. Valadon
Melbourne Victory
🔄
65'
M. Grimaldi ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
⚽
71'
Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🔄
76'
B. Kraev ↔ J. Rose
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
76'
A. Gersbach ↔ J. Carluccio
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
76'
A. Waraga ↔ A. Hammond
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
81'
J. Brillante ↔ A. Lual
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
82'
Clarismario ↔ J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🟨
90+3'
Nikolaos Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+1'
S. Esposito ↔ B. Hamill
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+1'
N. Velupillay ↔ N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
⚽
90'
N. Vergos · Assist: K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Western Sydney Wanderers Win 35.7%
Draw 0%
Melbourne Victory Win 64.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Western Sydney Wanderers1.18
Melbourne Victory1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
WWDLW
27 GF / 41 GA
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WLDWL
42 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
13
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
14
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 25 matches
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 25 matches
Western Sydney Wanderers Statistic Melbourne Victory
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
14 Losses 8
27 Goals For 42
41 Goals Against 33
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
13 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.76
15.16 Total Shots 17.4
5.28 Corners 6.24
52% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Western Sydney Wanderers won 9 times, Melbourne Victory won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:24 from Western Sydney Wanderers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Western Sydney Wanderers 4-4-2 / Melbourne Victory 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Western Sydney Wanderers 2, Melbourne Victory 2
H2H summary: Western Sydney Wanderers wins 9, draws 2, Melbourne Victory wins 4
Stats
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 4
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
459 Total passes 376
389 Passes accurate 291
1.40 expected_goals 1.52
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Western Sydney Wanderers
Formation
Melbourne Victory
J. Holmes
J. Holmes
D. Scicluna
D. Scicluna
N. Barrie
N. Barrie
A. Pantazopoulos
A. Pantazopoulos
A. Gersbach
↓
A. Gersbach
A. Waraga
↓
A. Waraga
A. Thurgate
A. Thurgate
J. Brillante
↓
J. Brillante
B. Kraev
↓
B. Kraev
R. Fraser
R. Fraser
B. Borrello
B. Borrello
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
S. Esposito
↓
S. Esposito
Roderick
Roderick
J. Davidson
J. Davidson
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
D. Genreau
D. Genreau
L. D'Arrigo
↓
L. D'Arrigo
Clarismario
⚽ ↓
Clarismario
N. Velupillay
↓
N. Velupillay
M. Grimaldi
↓
M. Grimaldi
C. Nduka
C. Nduka
Western Sydney Wanderers 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
J. Holmes
G
5
D. Scicluna
D
24
N. Barrie
D
22
A. Pantazopoulos
D
3
A. Gersbach
↓ 76'
D
52
A. Waraga
↓ 76'
M
32
A. Thurgate
M
25
J. Brillante
↓ 81'
M
23
B. Kraev
↓ 76'
M
7
R. Fraser
F
26
B. Borrello
F
Substitutes
20
L. Thomas
G
19
R. Tongyik
D
39
A. Lual
↑ 81'
F
38
J. Rose
↑ 76'
F
8
S. Ugarkovic
M
17
J. Carluccio
↑ 76'
F
21
A. Hammond
↑ 76'
M
Melbourne Victory 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
15
S. Esposito
↓ 90+1'
D
21
Roderick
D
2
J. Davidson
D
22
J. Rawlins
M
10
D. Genreau
M
27
L. D'Arrigo
↓ 65'
M
11
Clarismario
⚽ 71' ↓ 82'
M
17
N. Velupillay
↓ 90+1'
F
14
M. Grimaldi
↓ 65'
F
44
C. Nduka
F
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
64
J. Mata
↑ 82'
M
3
A. Traore
D
5
B. Hamill
↑ 90+1'
D
8
J. Valadon
↑ 65'
M
9
N. Vergos
⚽ 90' ↑ 90+1' 🟨 90+3'
F
23
K. Jelacic
🎯 90' ↑ 65'
F
Last matches: Western Sydney Wanderers
18.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
11.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
0
2
L
04.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
0
3
L
20.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
2
4
L
13.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
2
2
D
07.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
28.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
4
0
W
22.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
2
3
L
13.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
07.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
1
1
D
31.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
1
4
L
25.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
1
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
01.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
0
1
L
27.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
2
3
L
19.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
0
2
L
13.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
05.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
0
1
L
29.11.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
1
0
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
H2H: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory
25.04.26
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
0
2
L
10.01.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
W
10.05.25
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
15.03.25
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
4
2
W
04.01.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
27.04.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
4
W
10.12.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
3
4
L
15.04.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
15.10.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
W
27.03.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
16.02.22
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
0
W
23.04.21
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
5
4
L
10.02.21
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
0
W
12.08.20
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
18.10.19
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
2
W
Last matches: Western Sydney Wanderers
11.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
0
2
L
20.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
2
4
L
13.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
07.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
1
1
D
25.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
1
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
01.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
0
1
L
19.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
0
2
L
13.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
29.11.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
1
0
W
22.11.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
3
2
W
18.10.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
1
1
D
H2H at home: Western Sydney Wanderers
25.04.26
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
0
2
L
10.05.25
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
15.03.25
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
4
2
W
10.12.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
3
4
L
15.04.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
16.02.22
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
0
W
10.02.21
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
0
W
12.08.20
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
28.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
22.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
3
L
31.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
2
0
W
24.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
5
L
H2H away: Melbourne Victory
25.04.26
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
0
2
W
10.05.25
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
15.03.25
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
4
2
L
10.12.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
3
4
W
15.04.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L
16.02.22
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
0
L
10.02.21
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
0
L
12.08.20
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Away
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Home
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Missing Players

Western Sydney Wanderers 2 missing
-
A. Simmons
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
J. Farrell
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Melbourne Victory 2 missing
-
J. Reec
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Inserra
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT