AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
25.04.2026 09:35
CommBank Stadium
Referee: D. Elder
Western Sydney Wanderers
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
62'
Atiya Waraga
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
65'
L. D'Arrigo ↔ J. Valadon
Melbourne Victory
🔄
65'
M. Grimaldi ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
⚽
71'
Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🔄
76'
B. Kraev ↔ J. Rose
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
76'
A. Gersbach ↔ J. Carluccio
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
76'
A. Waraga ↔ A. Hammond
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
81'
J. Brillante ↔ A. Lual
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
82'
Clarismario ↔ J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🟨
90+3'
Nikolaos Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+1'
S. Esposito ↔ B. Hamill
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+1'
N. Velupillay ↔ N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
⚽
90'
N. Vergos · Assist: K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Western Sydney Wanderers Win 35.7%
Draw 0%
Melbourne Victory Win 64.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Western Sydney Wanderers1.18
Melbourne Victory1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
WWDLW
27 GF / 41 GA
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WLDWL
42 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
13
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
14
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 25 matches
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 25 matches
Western Sydney Wanderers Statistic Melbourne Victory
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
14 Losses 8
27 Goals For 42
41 Goals Against 33
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
13 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.76
15.16 Total Shots 17.4
5.28 Corners 6.24
52% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Western Sydney Wanderers won 8 times, Melbourne Victory won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:24 from Western Sydney Wanderers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Western Sydney Wanderers 4-4-2 / Melbourne Victory 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Western Sydney Wanderers 2, Melbourne Victory 2
H2H summary: Western Sydney Wanderers wins 8, draws 3, Melbourne Victory wins 4

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)