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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
09.10.2026 19:00
London Stadium
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
West Ham
Match Timeline
QPR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Arne Engels
West Ham
⚽
18'
N. Madsen
QPR
🟨
24'
Boy Kemper
QPR
🔄
46'
K. Walker-Peters ↔ E. Austbo
West Ham
🔄
46'
T. Soucek ↔ Pablo
West Ham
🔄
60'
P. Smyth ↔ H. Vale
QPR
🟨
62'
Glen Kamara
QPR
🟨
65'
Morato
West Ham
🔄
68'
D. Mukasa ↔ L. Orford
West Ham
🔄
68'
M. Solomon ↔ J. Piroe
West Ham
🔄
69'
B. Kemper ↔ T. Lamptey
QPR
🔄
69'
R. Kolli ↔ R. Kone
QPR
⚽
70'
J. Bowen
West Ham
🔄
80'
K. Poku ↔ A. S. Mbengue
QPR
⚽
90+1'
Jarrod Bowen
West Ham
🟨
90+1'
Richard Kone
QPR
🟨
90'
Amadou Salif Mbengue
QPR

West Ham vs QPR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.67
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.7%
1.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
77.4%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
1.54 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
West Ham Win 52.7%
Draw 10.6%
QPR Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Ham1.8
QPR1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Ham West Ham
WWDLW
29 GF / 13 GA
QPR QPR
WLDWL
27 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
5.88
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Ham West Ham 12 matches
QPR QPR 14 matches
West Ham Statistic QPR
5 Wins 8
6 Draws 5
1 Losses 1
29 Goals For 27
13 Goals Against 12
2.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
5.88 Shots On Goal 5.38
15.75 Total Shots 17.25
6.63 Corners 6.88
57.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. QPR seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward QPR. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. West Ham come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

West Ham Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 15 points from 8 games, West Ham bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 22:11, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Bowen (3 goals), K. Mavropanos (3 goals), M. Kanté (3 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (2 assists), M. Solomon (2 assists), V. Castellanos (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Areola, M. Kante, T. Soucek unavailable.

QPR Analysis

QPR are currently 6 in the standings with 13 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Chair (2 goals), P. Smyth (2 goals), J. Dunne (1 goals), with creative support from I. Chair (1 assists), R. Burrell (1 assists), A. Mbengue (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without D. Cirkin, I. Chair, K. Dembele, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, West Ham won 3 times, QPR won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from West Ham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: West Ham 4-4-2 / QPR 4-4-2
Missing players: West Ham 2, QPR 9
H2H summary: West Ham wins 3, draws 2, QPR wins 0

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 5 4 1 29:12 17 19
W D D W W
4 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
5
QPR Away
10 4 5 1 15:9 6 17
W D D D D
6 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
7 10 6 2 2 21:10 11 16
W W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
9 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
10 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
11 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
12 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
13 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 10 3 3 4 14:14 0 12
L W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L D D W
17 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
18 10 3 2 5 7:17 -10 11
L L L W W
19 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
20 10 3 0 7 17:20 -3 9
L L L L W
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 10 1 3 6 9:19 -10 6
L D D L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One