Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom2.8
Derby1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom
WWDLW
11 GF / 2 GA
Derby
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
3.67
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
West Brom
3 matches
Derby
2 matches
| West Brom | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 3 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 3.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 1 times, Derby won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from West Brom's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.
Predicted formations: West Brom 4-4-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: West Brom wins 1, draws 4, Derby wins 8
Last matches: West Brom
25.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Shrewsbury
4
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Bromley
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Ipswich
0
0
D
21.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Watford
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Preston
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Millwall
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Blackburn
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Wrexham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Hull City
3
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Southampton
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Oxford United
1
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Charlton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Coventry
0
2
L
14.02.26
FA
West Brom
Norwich
1
3
L
10.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Birmingham
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Stoke City
0
0
D
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H: West Brom vs Derby
23.01.26
H2H
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
0
1
L
12.08.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
1
D
21.04.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
3
L
26.12.24
H2H
Derby
West Brom
2
1
L
23.08.22
H2H
Derby
West Brom
1
0
L
27.12.21
H2H
Derby
West Brom
1
0
L
14.09.21
H2H
West Brom
Derby
0
0
D
08.07.20
H2H
West Brom
Derby
2
0
W
24.08.19
H2H
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
05.05.19
H2H
Derby
West Brom
3
1
L
24.10.18
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
4
L
07.01.17
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: West Brom
17.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Bromley
4
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Ipswich
0
0
D
21.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Watford
3
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Millwall
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Wrexham
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Hull City
3
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Southampton
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Charlton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Coventry
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Stoke City
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Norwich
0
5
L
16.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Middlesbrough
2
3
L
29.12.25
Cha
West Brom
QPR
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
West Brom
Bristol City
1
2
L
12.12.25
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
2
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Swansea
3
2
W
26.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Oxford United
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
18.10.25
Cha
West Brom
Preston
2
1
W
H2H at home: West Brom
13.09.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
0
1
L
12.08.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
1
D
21.04.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
3
L
14.09.21
H2H
West Brom
Derby
0
0
D
08.07.20
H2H
West Brom
Derby
2
0
W
24.10.18
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
4
L
07.01.17
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
H2H away: Derby
13.09.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
0
1
W
12.08.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
1
D
21.04.25
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
3
W
14.09.21
H2H
West Brom
Derby
0
0
D
08.07.20
H2H
West Brom
Derby
2
0
L
24.10.18
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
4
W
07.01.17
H2H
West Brom
Derby
1
2
W