GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
02.05.2026 13:30
Weserstadion
Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany
Werder Bremen
Match Timeline
FC Augsburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Han-Noah Massengo
FC Augsburg
⚽
24'
A. Kade · Assist: M. Gregoritsch
FC Augsburg
🔄
36'
H. Massengo ↔ K. Jakic
FC Augsburg
⚽
45'
A. Kade · Assist: D. Giannoulis
FC Augsburg
🔄
46'
C. Puertas ↔ S. Mbangula
Werder Bremen
🔄
46'
J. Milosevic ↔ J. Njinmah
Werder Bremen
🔄
46'
K. Coulibaly ↔ S. Musah
Werder Bremen
⚽
64'
R. Schmid · Assist: O. Deman
Werder Bremen
🔄
66'
J. Gouweleeuw ↔ Arthur Chaves
FC Augsburg
🔄
66'
D. Giannoulis ↔ M. Wolf
FC Augsburg
🔄
67'
M. Gregoritsch ↔ R. Ribeiro
FC Augsburg
⚽
69'
K. Jakic · Assist: M. Wolf
FC Augsburg
🔄
75'
C. Matsima ↔ K. Schlotterbeck
FC Augsburg
🟨
76'
Marco Friedl
Werder Bremen
🔄
79'
Y. Sugawara ↔ M. Grull
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
73.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Werder Bremen Win 26.5%
Draw 27.3%
FC Augsburg Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Werder Bremen1.4
FC Augsburg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
WWDLW
36 GF / 54 GA
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
WLDWL
39 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
15
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
18
4.23
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 matches
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 matches
Werder Bremen Statistic FC Augsburg
8 Wins 10
8 Draws 7
15 Losses 14
36 Goals For 39
54 Goals Against 55
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
15 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 8
4.23 Shots On Goal 4.48
13.16 Total Shots 13.16
4.48 Corners 4.61
51.4% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Augsburg. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Werder Bremen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Augsburg in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Augsburg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Werder Bremen Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Werder Bremen have collected 32 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, while the 36:54 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Stage (10 goals), J. Njinmah (5 goals), J. Milosevic (3 goals), with creative support from R. Schmid (8 assists), Y. Sugawara (6 assists), J. Stage (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Augsburg Analysis

FC Augsburg sit 9 with 37 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, while the 39:55 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Rieder (6 goals), Alexis Claude-Maurice (5 goals), Anton Kade (4 goals), with creative support from Alexis Claude-Maurice (5 assists), D. Giannoulis (4 assists), F. Rieder (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Werder Bremen won 7 times, FC Augsburg won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Werder Bremen's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1 / FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Werder Bremen wins 7, draws 2, FC Augsburg wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation