GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Weserstadion
Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany
Werder Bremen
Match Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Pieper ↔ M. Friedl
Werder Bremen
🔄
53'
I. Schmidt ↔ M. Grull
Werder Bremen
59'
S. Guirassy · Assist: J. Ryerson
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
70'
C. Puertas ↔ P. Covic
Werder Bremen
🔄
70'
S. Musah ↔ S. Mbangula
Werder Bremen
🔄
70'
M. Beier ↔ J. Brandt
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
70'
S. Inacio ↔ C. Chukwuemeka
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
83'
S. Guirassy ↔ F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
83'
J. Bellingham ↔ K. Adeyemi
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
88'
J. Ryerson ↔ Y. Couto
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
90+3'
R. Schmid ↔ L. Bittencourt
Werder Bremen
90'
Y. Couto · Assist: K. Adeyemi
Borussia Dortmund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Werder Bremen Win 25.9%
Draw 14.4%
Borussia Dortmund Win 59.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Werder Bremen1.18
Borussia Dortmund1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
WWDLW
37 GF / 58 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
90 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
2.09
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
16
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
26
4.15
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 43 matches
Werder Bremen Statistic Borussia Dortmund
8 Wins 25
8 Draws 9
17 Losses 9
37 Goals For 90
58 Goals Against 55
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 2.09
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
16 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 38
18 Over 2.5 26
12 Over 3.5 18
6 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 4
4.15 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.15 Total Shots 12.49
4.55 Corners 5.05
51.2% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Borussia Dortmund's more proactive style and Werder Bremen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Borussia Dortmund. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Werder Bremen expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Borussia Dortmund in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Dortmund having the stronger overall control. Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Werder Bremen sit 15 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Werder Bremen Analysis

Werder Bremen sit 15 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 37:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Stage (10 goals), J. Njinmah (5 goals), R. Schmid (4 goals), with creative support from R. Schmid (8 assists), Y. Sugawara (6 assists), J. Stage (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

With 70 points from 33 games and a place of 2, Borussia Dortmund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats with a 68:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Guirassy (16 goals), M. Beier (9 goals), J. Brandt (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ryerson (14 assists), M. Beier (6 assists), F. Silva (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Werder Bremen won 2 times, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:32 from Werder Bremen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Werder Bremen 4-1-4-1 / Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Werder Bremen 6, Borussia Dortmund 2
H2H summary: Werder Bremen wins 2, draws 5, Borussia Dortmund wins 8
Stats
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 0
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Goal 9
3 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 14
4 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Goalkeeper Saves 3
515 Total passes 485
438 Passes accurate 413
0.49 expected_goals 2.74
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Werder Bremen
Formation
Borussia Dortmund
M. Backhaus
M. Backhaus
I. Schmidt
I. Schmidt
A. Pieper
A. Pieper
K. Coulibaly
K. Coulibaly
O. Deman
O. Deman
S. Lynen
S. Lynen
J. Njinmah
J. Njinmah
J. Stage
J. Stage
C. Puertas
C. Puertas
R. Schmid
R. Schmid
S. Musah
S. Musah
G. Kobel
G. Kobel
L. Reggiani
L. Reggiani
W. Anton
W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck
J. Ryerson
🎯
J. Ryerson
F. Nmecha
F. Nmecha
J. Bellingham
J. Bellingham
D. Svensson
D. Svensson
M. Beier
M. Beier
S. Inacio
S. Inacio
S. Guirassy
S. Guirassy
Werder Bremen 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
M. Backhaus
G
23
I. Schmidt
↓ 53'
D
5
A. Pieper
↓ 46'
D
31
K. Coulibaly
D
2
O. Deman
D
14
S. Lynen
M
11
J. Njinmah
M
6
J. Stage
M
18
C. Puertas
↓ 70'
M
20
R. Schmid
↓ 90+3'
M
29
S. Musah
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
25
M. Kolke
G
10
L. Bittencourt
↑ 90+3'
M
4
N. Stark
D
24
P. Covic
↑ 70'
M
17
M. Grull
↑ 53'
F
32
M. Friedl
↑ 46'
D
27
F. Agu
D
7
S. Mbangula
↑ 70'
F
19
J. Milosevic
F
Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Kobel
G
49
L. Reggiani
D
3
W. Anton
D
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D
26
J. Ryerson
🎯 59' ↓ 88'
M
8
F. Nmecha
M
7
J. Bellingham
↓ 83'
M
24
D. Svensson
M
14
M. Beier
↓ 70'
F
40
S. Inacio
↓ 70'
F
9
S. Guirassy
⚽ 59' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
33
A. Meyer
G
20
M. Sabitzer
M
25
N. Sule
D
21
F. Silva
↑ 83'
F
10
J. Brandt
↑ 70'
M
6
S. Ozcan
M
27
K. Adeyemi
🎯 90' ↑ 83'
F
17
C. Chukwuemeka
↑ 70'
M
2
Y. Couto
⚽ 90' ↑ 88'
D
Last matches: Werder Bremen
22.07.26
Fri
Werder Bremen
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Werder Bremen
Verden 04
6
2
W
09.05.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
0
1
L
02.05.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
FC Augsburg
1
3
L
26.04.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
1
1
D
18.04.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
3
1
W
12.04.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
1
3
L
04.04.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
21.03.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
4
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Bayern München
0
3
L
07.02.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
31.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
27.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
0
2
L
24.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
L
16.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
3
D
13.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
3
L
Last matches: Borussia Dortmund
25.07.26
Fri
Borussia Dortmund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Borussia Dortmund
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
3
1
W
08.05.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
03.05.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
1
L
26.04.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
4
0
W
18.04.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
1899 Hoffenheim
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
L
04.04.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
21.03.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
3
2
W
14.03.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
2
0
W
07.03.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
2
3
L
25.02.26
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
1
4
L
21.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
2
2
D
17.02.26
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
2
0
W
13.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
01.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Heidenheim
3
2
W
28.01.26
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
Inter
0
2
L
24.01.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
3
0
W
H2H: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
16.05.26
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
13.01.26
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
3
0
L
25.01.25
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2
2
D
31.08.24
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
0
D
09.03.24
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
20.10.23
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
1
0
L
11.02.23
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
20.08.22
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2
3
W
18.04.21
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
4
1
L
15.12.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
22.02.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
04.02.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
28.09.19
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
2
2
D
04.05.19
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
05.02.19
H2H
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
4
4
D
Last matches: Werder Bremen
22.07.26
Fri
Werder Bremen
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
W
02.05.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
FC Augsburg
1
3
L
18.04.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
15.03.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
28.02.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Bayern München
0
3
L
31.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
27.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
0
2
L
16.01.26
Bun
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
3
D
14.12.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
0
4
L
29.11.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
07.11.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
24.10.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
1
0
W
04.10.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
1
0
W
20.09.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
30.08.25
Bun
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
H2H at home: Werder Bremen
16.05.26
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
0
D
09.03.24
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
11.02.23
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
15.12.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
22.02.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
04.02.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
04.05.19
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
Last matches: Borussia Dortmund
25.07.26
Fri
Borussia Dortmund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Borussia Dortmund
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
3
1
W
03.05.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
1
L
18.04.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
1899 Hoffenheim
1
2
L
04.04.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
07.03.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
1
4
L
21.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
2
2
D
07.02.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
3
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
Tottenham
0
2
L
09.01.26
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
3
D
14.12.25
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
1
1
D
29.11.25
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
2
1
W
08.11.25
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
05.11.25
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City
1
4
L
31.10.25
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
1
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Borussia Dortmund
FC Copenhagen
4
2
W
18.10.25
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
1
2
L
27.09.25
Bun
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
2
0
W
H2H away: Borussia Dortmund
16.05.26
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
W
31.08.24
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
0
D
09.03.24
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
W
11.02.23
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
W
15.12.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
W
22.02.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
W
04.02.20
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
L
04.05.19
H2H
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Werder Bremen 6 missing
-
K. Hein
Missing Fixture Hand Injury
OUT
-
J. Malatini
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
K. Topp
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Weiser
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Wober
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
Y. Sugawara
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Borussia Dortmund 2 missing
-
E. Can
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Bensebaini
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT