Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Werder Bremen
33 matches
Borussia Dortmund
43 matches
| Werder Bremen | Statistic | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 25 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 17 | Losses | 9 |
| 37 | Goals For | 90 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.15 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 13.15 | Total Shots | 12.49 |
| 4.55 | Corners | 5.05 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Borussia Dortmund's more proactive style and Werder Bremen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Borussia Dortmund. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Werder Bremen expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Borussia Dortmund in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Dortmund having the stronger overall control. Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Werder Bremen sit 15 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Werder Bremen sit 15 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 37:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Stage (10 goals), J. Njinmah (5 goals), R. Schmid (4 goals), with creative support from R. Schmid (8 assists), Y. Sugawara (6 assists), J. Stage (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 70 points from 33 games and a place of 2, Borussia Dortmund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats with a 68:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Guirassy (16 goals), M. Beier (9 goals), J. Brandt (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ryerson (14 assists), M. Beier (6 assists), F. Silva (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Werder Bremen won 2 times, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:32 from Werder Bremen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Werder Bremen
3
9
3
3
3
5
Lineups
Werder Bremen
Fagiano Okayama
Werder Bremen
Verden 04
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Borussia Dortmund
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Fagiano Okayama
Werder Bremen
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Borussia Dortmund
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
FC Copenhagen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
Away
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
Home
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|