Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Werder Bremen
33 matches
Borussia Dortmund
43 matches
| Werder Bremen | Statistic | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 25 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 17 | Losses | 9 |
| 37 | Goals For | 90 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.15 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 13.15 | Total Shots | 12.49 |
| 4.55 | Corners | 5.05 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Borussia Dortmund's more proactive style and Werder Bremen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Borussia Dortmund. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Werder Bremen expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Borussia Dortmund in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Dortmund having the stronger overall control. Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Werder Bremen sit 15 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Werder Bremen sit 15 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 37:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Stage (10 goals), J. Njinmah (5 goals), R. Schmid (4 goals), with creative support from R. Schmid (8 assists), Y. Sugawara (6 assists), J. Stage (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 70 points from 33 games and a place of 2, Borussia Dortmund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats with a 68:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Guirassy (16 goals), M. Beier (9 goals), J. Brandt (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ryerson (14 assists), M. Beier (6 assists), F. Silva (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Werder Bremen won 2 times, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:32 from Werder Bremen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
Away
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
Home
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|