Wellington Phoenix
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Draw 0%
Adelaide United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wellington Phoenix1.55
Adelaide United1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wellington Phoenix
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
Adelaide United
WLDWL
16 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
8
5.18
Shots on Goal
4.64
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Wellington Phoenix
11 matches
Adelaide United
11 matches
| Wellington Phoenix | Statistic | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 17 | Goals For | 16 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.64 |
| 13.27 | Total Shots | 12.09 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.55 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, Adelaide United won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:28 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Wellington Phoenix 3-3-1-3 / Adelaide United 3-5-2
H2H summary: Wellington Phoenix wins 4, draws 6, Adelaide United wins 5
Stats
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix
Formation
Adelaide United
E. McCarron
I. Hughes
M. James
M. Sheridan
T. Payne
A. Rufer
L. Kelly-Heald
K. Nagasawa
R. Najjarine
I. Eze
C. Piper
J. Smits
J. Barnett
P. Kikianis
R. Kitto
P. Madanha
R. White
L. Duzel
J. Muniz
J. Yull
C. Goodwin
Anselmo
Wellington Phoenix
3-3-1-3
Starting XI
40
E. McCarron
G
15
I. Hughes
D
⚽ 56'
4
M. James
D
27
M. Sheridan
D
6
T. Payne
M
🎯 65'
↓ 66'
14
A. Rufer
M
🟨 40'
18
L. Kelly-Heald
M
↓ 46'
🟨 30'
25
K. Nagasawa
M
20
R. Najjarine
F
🎯 56'
7
I. Eze
F
↓ 82'
3
C. Piper
F
⚽ 65'
🟨 28'
Substitutes
60
J. Chalabi
G
5
F. Conchie
M
8
P. Retre
M
↑ 66'
10
N. Mileusnic
F
↑ 82'
24
T. Loke
F
29
L. Brooke-Smith
F
↑ 46'
37
A. Cassidy
M
Adelaide United
3-5-2
Starting XI
22
J. Smits
G
14
J. Barnett
D
4
P. Kikianis
D
7
R. Kitto
D
36
P. Madanha
M
🎯 14'
44
R. White
⚽ 14'
23
L. Duzel
M
⚽ 44'
10
J. Muniz
M
↓ 79'
12
J. Yull
M
11
C. Goodwin
F
🎯 44'
🟨 54'
87
Anselmo
F
↓ 79'
🟨 72'
Substitutes
40
E. Cox
G
52
S. Phillis
62
F. Talladira
M
18
J. Najdovski
F
↑ 79'
65
J. Garuccio
M
74
A. Tatu
42
A. Ayoubi
M
↑ 79'
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
Last matches: Adelaide United
20.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
Playford City Patriots
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
06.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
17.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
H2H: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United
06.03.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
11.01.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
L
11.01.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
2
L
03.03.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
2
W
04.01.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
05.05.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
L
17.03.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
L
17.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
1
W
09.10.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
12.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
L
07.05.21
H2H
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
25.04.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
22.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
1
L
08.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
2
L
26.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
H2H at home: Wellington Phoenix
11.01.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
11.01.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
2
L
03.03.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
2
W
17.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
1
W
09.10.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
12.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
Last matches: Adelaide United
20.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
Playford City Patriots
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
20.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
29.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
2
L
27.10.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
2
L
H2H away: Adelaide United
11.01.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
L
11.01.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
2
W
03.03.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
2
L
17.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
3
1
L
09.10.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
12.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
L
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Away
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Home
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)