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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Watford
FT
0 - 2
Swansea
Vicarage Road
Referee: M. Corlett
Watford
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Cameron Burgess
Swansea
🟨
53'
Imrân Louza
Watford
⚽
55'
M. Stamenic · Assist: Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🔄
59'
J. Eom ↔ Gustavo Nunes
Swansea
🔄
59'
J. Fulton ↔ L. Cullen
Swansea
🔄
65'
O. Maamma ↔ G. Chakvetadze
Watford
🔄
65'
T. Ince ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
68'
J. Ward ↔ E. Galbraith
Swansea
🔄
69'
G. Franco ↔ M. Yalcouye
Swansea
🔄
76'
M. Doumbia ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
77'
I. Louza ↔ N. Mendy
Watford
🔄
80'
Ronald ↔ J. Key
Swansea
⚽
80'
J. Key · Assist: M. Stamenic
Swansea
🟥
90+2'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford
🟨
90+2'
Liam Cullen
Swansea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Swansea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.34
Swansea1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
40 GF / 38 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
20
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
14
4.52
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 29 matches
Swansea Swansea 30 matches
Watford Statistic Swansea
11 Wins 10
10 Draws 7
8 Losses 13
40 Goals For 33
38 Goals Against 38
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
20 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 6
4.52 Shots On Goal 3.9
13.52 Total Shots 12.43
4.66 Corners 5.03
51.1% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 6 times, Swansea won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 6, draws 3, Swansea wins 6
Stats
Watford Watford
Swansea Swansea
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 8
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 5
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 9
10 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
454 Total passes 348
353 Passes accurate 260
0.91 expected_goals 2.64
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Swansea
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
K. Keben
K. Keben
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
M. Bola
M. Bola
I. Louza
↓
I. Louza
E. Kayembe
E. Kayembe
T. Ince
↓
T. Ince
M. Doumbia
↓
M. Doumbia
O. Maamma
↓
O. Maamma
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Vigouroux
L. Vigouroux
J. Ward
↓
J. Ward
B. Cabango
B. Cabango
C. Burgess
C. Burgess
J. Tymon
J. Tymon
M. Stamenic
⚽ 🎯
M. Stamenic
Ronald
↓
Ronald
G. Franco
↓
G. Franco
J. Fulton
↓
J. Fulton
J. Eom
↓
J. Eom
Z. Vipotnik
🎯
Z. Vipotnik
Watford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
D
4
K. Keben
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
16
M. Bola
D
10
I. Louza
↓ 77' 🟨 53'
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
7
T. Ince
↓ 65'
M
20
M. Doumbia
↓ 76'
M
42
O. Maamma
↓ 65'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
8
G. Chakvetadze
↑ 65'
M
18
V. Semedo
F
21
S. Mfuni
D
23
N. Mendy
↑ 77'
M
34
K. Baah
↑ 65'
F
43
J. Grieves
F
56
A. Eames
66
N. Irankunda
↑ 76' 🟥 90+2'
F
Swansea 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
L. Vigouroux
G
25
J. Ward
↓ 68'
D
5
B. Cabango
D
15
C. Burgess
🟨 7'
D
14
J. Tymon
D
6
M. Stamenic
⚽ 55' 🎯 80'
M
35
Ronald
↓ 80'
M
17
G. Franco
↓ 69'
M
4
J. Fulton
↓ 59'
M
10
J. Eom
↓ 59'
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
🎯 55'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Fisher
G
2
J. Key
⚽ 80' ↑ 80'
D
8
M. Yalcouye
↑ 69'
M
16
I. Samuels-Smith
D
18
Gustavo Nunes
↑ 59'
F
20
L. Cullen
↑ 59' 🟨 90+2'
F
30
E. Galbraith
↑ 68'
M
31
O. Cooper
M
43
D. Watts
D
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
Last matches: Swansea
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
H2H: Watford vs Swansea
31.01.26
H2H
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
1
D
12.03.25
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
W
05.11.24
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
0
L
06.03.24
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
1
D
24.10.23
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
1
W
30.12.22
H2H
Swansea
Watford
4
0
L
05.10.22
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
L
08.05.21
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
0
W
02.01.21
H2H
Swansea
Watford
2
1
L
24.09.19
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
1
W
30.12.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
L
23.09.17
H2H
Swansea
Watford
1
2
W
15.04.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
W
22.10.16
H2H
Swansea
Watford
0
0
D
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
31.01.26
H2H
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
12.03.25
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
W
06.03.24
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
1
D
05.10.22
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
L
08.05.21
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
0
W
24.09.19
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
1
W
30.12.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
L
15.04.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
04.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Millwall
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
1
L
13.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
0
0
D
30.09.25
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
2
1
W
H2H away: Swansea
31.01.26
H2H
Watford
Swansea
0
2
W
12.03.25
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
L
06.03.24
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
1
D
05.10.22
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
W
08.05.21
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
0
L
24.09.19
H2H
Watford
Swansea
2
1
L
30.12.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
2
W
15.04.17
H2H
Watford
Swansea
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea Away
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Home
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation