ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
31.01.2026 15:00
Vicarage Road
Referee: M. Corlett
Watford
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Cameron Burgess
Swansea
🟨
53'
Imrân Louza
Watford
⚽
55'
M. Stamenic · Assist: Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🔄
59'
J. Eom ↔ Gustavo Nunes
Swansea
🔄
59'
J. Fulton ↔ L. Cullen
Swansea
🔄
65'
O. Maamma ↔ G. Chakvetadze
Watford
🔄
65'
T. Ince ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
68'
J. Ward ↔ E. Galbraith
Swansea
🔄
69'
G. Franco ↔ M. Yalcouye
Swansea
🔄
76'
M. Doumbia ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
77'
I. Louza ↔ N. Mendy
Watford
🔄
80'
Ronald ↔ J. Key
Swansea
⚽
80'
J. Key · Assist: M. Stamenic
Swansea
🟥
90+2'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford
🟨
90+2'
Liam Cullen
Swansea

Watford vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Swansea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.34
Swansea1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
40 GF / 38 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
20
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
14
4.52
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 29 matches
Swansea Swansea 30 matches
Watford Statistic Swansea
11 Wins 10
10 Draws 7
8 Losses 13
40 Goals For 33
38 Goals Against 38
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
20 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 6
4.52 Shots On Goal 3.9
13.52 Total Shots 12.43
4.66 Corners 5.03
51.1% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 6 times, Swansea won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 6, draws 3, Swansea wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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