ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
17.01.2026 12:30
Vicarage Road
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
Watford
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+4'
Hector Kyprianou
Watford
🔄
46'
C. De Norre ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
🟨
49'
Billy Mitchell
Millwall
🟨
54'
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Watford
🟨
66'
Alfie Doughty
Millwall
🔄
66'
J. Ngakia ↔ K. Keben
Watford
🔄
66'
O. Maamma ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
66'
T. Ballo ↔ A. Emakhu
Millwall
🔄
67'
M. Ivanovic ↔ J. Coburn
Millwall
⚽
69'
F. Azeez
Millwall
🟨
71'
Camiel Neghli
Millwall
🔄
80'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
80'
H. Kyprianou ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
80'
F. Azeez ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
⚽
81'
J. Coburn · Assist: C. Neghli
Millwall
🔄
87'
C. Neghli ↔ Z. Sturge
Millwall
🟨
89'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford
🟨
89'
Tristan Crama
Millwall
🟨
90+2'
Matthew Pollock
Watford

Watford vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.44
Millwall1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
38 GF / 34 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
30 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
18
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
4.62
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 26 matches
Millwall Millwall 27 matches
Watford Statistic Millwall
11 Wins 12
8 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
38 Goals For 30
34 Goals Against 38
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
18 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 7
4.62 Shots On Goal 4.26
13.62 Total Shots 12.52
4.42 Corners 5.26
51% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 4 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 4, draws 3, Millwall wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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