ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Vicarage Road
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
Watford
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+4'
Hector Kyprianou
Watford
🔄
46'
C. De Norre ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
🟨
49'
Billy Mitchell
Millwall
🟨
54'
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Watford
🟨
66'
Alfie Doughty
Millwall
🔄
66'
J. Ngakia ↔ K. Keben
Watford
🔄
66'
O. Maamma ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
66'
T. Ballo ↔ A. Emakhu
Millwall
🔄
67'
M. Ivanovic ↔ J. Coburn
Millwall
69'
F. Azeez
Millwall
🟨
71'
Camiel Neghli
Millwall
🔄
80'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
80'
H. Kyprianou ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
80'
F. Azeez ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
81'
J. Coburn · Assist: C. Neghli
Millwall
🔄
87'
C. Neghli ↔ Z. Sturge
Millwall
🟨
89'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford
🟨
89'
Tristan Crama
Millwall
🟨
90+2'
Matthew Pollock
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.44
Millwall1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
38 GF / 34 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
30 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
18
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
4.62
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 26 matches
Millwall Millwall 27 matches
Watford Statistic Millwall
11 Wins 12
8 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
38 Goals For 30
34 Goals Against 38
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
18 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 7
4.62 Shots On Goal 4.26
13.62 Total Shots 12.52
4.42 Corners 5.26
51% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 4 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 4, draws 3, Millwall wins 7
Stats
Watford Watford
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
7 Fouls 22
0 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 1
3 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
413 Total passes 317
327 Passes accurate 232
0.54 expected_goals 1.57
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Millwall
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
M. Bola
M. Bola
H. Kyprianou
H. Kyprianou
I. Louza
I. Louza
T. Ince
T. Ince
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
O. Maamma
O. Maamma
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
M. Crocombe
M. Crocombe
T. Crama
T. Crama
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
A. Doughty
A. Doughty
C. De Norre
C. De Norre
B. Mitchell
B. Mitchell
F. Azeez
F. Azeez
C. Neghli
🎯
C. Neghli
T. Ballo
T. Ballo
M. Ivanovic
M. Ivanovic
Watford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
↓ 66'
D
6
M. Pollock
🟨 90+2'
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
16
M. Bola
D
5
H. Kyprianou
↓ 80' 🟨 45+4'
M
10
I. Louza
M
7
T. Ince
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
🟨 54'
M
42
O. Maamma
↓ 66'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
4
K. Keben
↑ 66'
D
17
M. Sissoko
M
18
V. Semedo
↑ 80'
F
20
M. Doumbia
F
22
J. Morris
D
23
N. Mendy
M
34
K. Baah
↑ 80'
F
66
N. Irankunda
↑ 66' 🟨 89'
F
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
15
M. Crocombe
G
4
T. Crama
🟨 89'
D
6
C. Taylor
D
5
J. Cooper
D
14
A. Doughty
🟨 66'
D
24
C. De Norre
↓ 46'
M
8
B. Mitchell
🟨 49'
M
11
F. Azeez
⚽ 69' ↓ 80'
M
10
C. Neghli
🎯 81' ↓ 87' 🟨 71'
M
7
T. Ballo
↓ 66'
M
9
M. Ivanovic
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
12
G. Evans
G
2
D. McNamara
D
3
Z. Sturge
↑ 87'
D
17
M. Langstaff
↑ 46'
F
18
R. Leonard
M
19
J. Coburn
⚽ 81' ↑ 67'
F
22
A. Emakhu
↑ 66'
F
25
L. Cundle
↑ 80'
M
31
R. Bangura-Williams
F
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
H2H: Watford vs Millwall
17.01.26
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
22.09.25
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
3
W
02.03.24
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
L
28.10.23
H2H
Watford
Millwall
2
2
D
26.12.22
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
19.10.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
3
0
L
19.07.22
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
24.04.21
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
0
W
26.01.21
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
0
D
29.01.17
H2H
Millwall
Watford
1
0
L
11.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Watford
0
2
W
01.11.14
H2H
Watford
Millwall
3
1
W
12.04.14
H2H
Millwall
Watford
2
2
D
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
17.01.26
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
2
L
28.10.23
H2H
Watford
Millwall
2
2
D
26.12.22
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
24.04.21
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
0
W
01.11.14
H2H
Watford
Millwall
3
1
W
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
H2H away: Millwall
17.01.26
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
2
W
28.10.23
H2H
Watford
Millwall
2
2
D
26.12.22
H2H
Watford
Millwall
0
2
W
24.04.21
H2H
Watford
Millwall
1
0
L
01.11.14
H2H
Watford
Millwall
3
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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