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07.11.2026 15:00
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Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.3
Middlesbrough1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
16 GF / 24 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
27 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
10
4.36
Shots on Goal
6.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 15 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 14 matches
Watford Statistic Middlesbrough
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 2
16 Goals For 27
24 Goals Against 23
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
8 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 0
4.36 Shots On Goal 6.18
13 Total Shots 19.09
3.64 Corners 5.82
46.6% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 8 times, Middlesbrough won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 8, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 16:8 8 23
L W W W W
2 11 6 4 1 30:12 18 22
W W D D W
3 11 6 4 1 22:16 6 22
D W W D D
4 11 5 5 1 20:11 9 20
W W W D W
5 11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
W W L L D
6 11 6 1 4 18:16 2 19
W L W W W
7 11 5 3 3 19:16 3 18
D W L L W
8 11 6 3 2 21:10 11 17
D W W L W
9 11 4 5 2 15:12 3 17
L W D D D
10 11 4 3 4 17:16 1 15
L W W D W
11 11 4 3 4 15:14 1 15
W L W L L
12 11 4 3 4 18:18 0 15
D L W D D
13 11 4 3 4 14:14 0 15
D W W L D
14 11 3 5 3 15:16 -1 14
W L D W L
15 11 4 2 5 15:18 -3 14
D W L W W
16 11 4 2 5 12:15 -3 14
L L D W L
17 11 3 5 3 10:15 -5 14
L D D L D
18 11 3 3 5 9:19 -10 12
D L L L W
19 11 2 5 4 18:17 1 11
D W L W L
20 11 3 2 6 10:19 -9 11
W L L L L
21 11 3 0 8 17:21 -4 9
L L L L L
22 11 1 5 5 16:21 -5 8
L D W D L
23 11 1 3 7 9:20 -11 6
L L D D L
24 11 1 1 9 9:24 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One