ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
07.11.2026 15:00
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.34
Middlesbrough1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
13 GF / 15 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
7
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 12 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 11 matches
Watford Statistic Middlesbrough
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 2
13 Goals For 21
15 Goals Against 19
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 5.13
11.63 Total Shots 17.5
3.63 Corners 5.75
46% Ball Possession 60.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 8 times, Middlesbrough won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 8, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One