WORLD FRIENDLIES CLUBS
--.--.---- --:--
Watford
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
R. Piccoli
Fiorentina
🟨
44'
Watford
Watford
🔄
46'
M. Doumbia ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🔄
46'
O. H. Traore ↔ J. Petris
Watford
🔄
46'
A. Nabizada ↔ I. Bravo
Watford
🔄
59'
M. Bola ↔ A. Eames
Watford
🔄
59'
O. Maamma ↔ N. Chikovani
Watford
🔄
66'
M. Pollock ↔ T. Akomeah
Watford
🔄
70'
H. Kyprianou ↔ I. Louza
Watford
🔄
70'
E. Bove ↔ L. Espain
Watford
🔄
77'
K. Keben ↔ J. Clarridge
Watford
🔄
77'
K. Baah ↔ R. Vata
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.54
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.4%
1.33
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.54
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.65
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.9%
1.07
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 31.7%
Draw 26.6%
Fiorentina Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.73
Fiorentina2.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 3 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 3 matches
Watford Statistic Fiorentina
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
6 Goals For 11
4 Goals Against 4
2 Avg Goals Scored 3.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 0 times, Fiorentina won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Watford's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.4%)
H2H summary: Watford wins 0, draws 0, Fiorentina wins 1
Last matches: Watford
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
Last matches: Fiorentina
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
H2H: Watford vs Fiorentina
29.07.26
H2H
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
Last matches: Watford
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
29.07.26
H2H
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
Last matches: Fiorentina
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
2
2
D
H2H away: Fiorentina
29.07.26
H2H
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.14
Draw 3.17
Home 2.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.07
Over 3.25 2.30
Over 3.5 2.54
Under 2.0 3.21
Under 2.25 2.44
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 3.40
Home 2.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.25
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.70
Under 2.5 2.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.27
Draw 3.34
Home 3.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.86
Draw 2.10
Home 3.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.52
Draw 2.58
Home 3.21
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.87
Over 3.0 2.08
Over 3.25 2.31
Over 3.5 2.57
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 4.00
Over 4.25 4.39
Over 4.5 4.75
Over 4.75 5.95
Over 5.0 8.50
Over 5.5 9.10
Under 0.5 9.70
Under 1.0 7.30
Under 1.25 5.61
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 1.75 3.62
Under 2.0 3.24
Under 2.25 2.52
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.90
Under 3.0 1.64
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.28
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.14
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 3.35
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.33
Home 3.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.63
Home 3.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 2.75 1.80
Over 3.0 2.06
Over 3.25 2.32
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 3.90
Over 4.25 4.25
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 4.75 5.50
Over 5.0 7.50
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.20
Under 2.25 2.45
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.10
Under 5.0 1.05