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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
21.02.2026 15:00
Watford
FT
2 - 0
Derby
Vicarage Road
Referee: D. Webb
Watford
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🟨
23'
Matthew Clarke
Derby
🔄
23'
O. Maamma ↔ G. Chakvetadze
Watford
🟨
52'
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Watford
🟨
55'
Callum Elder
Derby
🔄
62'
C. Elder ↔ D. Murkin
Derby
🔄
62'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
62'
D. Ozoh ↔ B. Clark
Derby
🔄
68'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ M. Doumbia
Watford
🔄
68'
N. Irankunda ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
78'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby
🟨
83'
Mamadou Doumbia
Watford
🔄
85'
↔ M. Bola
Watford
🔄
86'
S. Goglichidze ↔ M. Pollock
Watford
🔄
90+2'
L. Travis ↔ C. Allen
Derby
⚽
90'
M. Doumbia · Assist: M. Bola
Watford

Watford vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.27
Derby1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
42 GF / 43 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
48 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
21
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
17
4.39
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 33 matches
Derby Derby 33 matches
Watford Statistic Derby
11 Wins 13
12 Draws 9
10 Losses 11
42 Goals For 48
43 Goals Against 42
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
21 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 2
4.39 Shots On Goal 3.33
13.82 Total Shots 9.97
4.88 Corners 4.82
51.5% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 8 times, Derby won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Watford's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 8, draws 1, Derby wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Home
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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