ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
10.10.2026 14:00
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.5
Burnley1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
13 GF / 15 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
15 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
7
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
9
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 12 matches
Burnley Burnley 14 matches
Watford Statistic Burnley
3 Wins 0
3 Draws 6
6 Losses 8
13 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 30
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
7 BTTS Yes 13
9 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.75
11.63 Total Shots 13.38
3.63 Corners 4.88
46% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 3 times, Burnley won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Watford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 3, draws 4, Burnley wins 8

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One