Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Waterford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Dundalk Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford1.44
Dundalk1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waterford
WWDLW
47 GF / 57 GA
Dundalk
WLDWL
46 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
20
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
17
3.58
Shots on Goal
5.42
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Waterford
33 matches
Dundalk
28 matches
| Waterford | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 47 | Goals For | 46 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.58 | Shots On Goal | 5.42 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 15.62 |
| 4.77 | Corners | 5.85 |
| 37.8% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 8 times, Dundalk won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:23 from Waterford's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Waterford 3-4-1-2 / Dundalk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Waterford wins 8, draws 4, Dundalk wins 3
Last matches: Waterford
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
Last matches: Dundalk
31.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
H2H: Waterford vs Dundalk
26.06.26
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
W
04.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
13.03.26
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
5
0
L
13.09.24
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
2
1
W
28.06.24
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
0
2
W
10.05.24
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
4
1
W
15.03.24
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
0
0
D
16.09.22
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
29.01.22
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
2
1
W
29.10.21
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
1
0
L
03.09.21
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
1
1
D
11.06.21
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
1
3
W
30.04.21
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
0
3
L
25.10.20
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
1
0
W
14.08.20
H2H
Dundalk
Waterford
2
2
D
Last matches: Waterford
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
L
20.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Kerry
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Riverstown FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Waterford
04.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
13.09.24
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
2
1
W
10.05.24
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
4
1
W
16.09.22
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
29.01.22
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
2
1
W
03.09.21
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
1
1
D
30.04.21
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
0
3
L
25.10.20
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
1
0
W
Last matches: Dundalk
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
4
L
23.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
UCD
5
1
W
H2H away: Dundalk
04.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
13.09.24
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
2
1
L
10.05.24
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
4
1
L
16.09.22
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
L
29.01.22
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
2
1
L
03.09.21
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
1
1
D
30.04.21
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
0
3
W
25.10.20
H2H
Waterford
Dundalk
1
0
L
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Home
|
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation