Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Waterford
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Waterford
20 matches
Dundalk
16 matches
| Waterford | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 4 |
| 22 | Goals For | 29 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2.85 | Shots On Goal | 6.43 |
| 11.23 | Total Shots | 16.5 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 6.43 |
| 40.8% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dundalk's more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Dundalk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 21 points while Waterford sit 10 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Waterford expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Dundalk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Waterford are currently 10 in the standings with 5 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 9:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Lonergan (3 goals), P. Amond (2 goals), Dean McMenamy (1 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), C. Noonan (1 assists), Evan McLaughlin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 21 points from 14 outings, Dundalk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, while the 23:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Horgan (3 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), E. Kenny (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (4 assists), G. Arubi (2 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 8 times, Dundalk won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:23 from Waterford's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Waterford
7
6
4
11
6
9
Lineups
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Kerry
Waterford
Riverstown FC
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
UCD
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Home
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|