Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Waterford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derry City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford1.41
Derry City1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waterford
WWDLW
50 GF / 58 GA
Derry City
WLDWL
42 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
21
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
17
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.91
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Waterford
35 matches
Derry City
34 matches
| Waterford | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 11 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 15 |
| 50 | Goals For | 42 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.75 | Shots On Goal | 3.91 |
| 12.61 | Total Shots | 11.09 |
| 4.96 | Corners | 5 |
| 37.8% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 4 times, Derry City won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:34 from Waterford's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Waterford 3-4-1-2 / Derry City 4-3-3
H2H summary: Waterford wins 4, draws 2, Derry City wins 9
Last matches: Waterford
21.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
Last matches: Derry City
21.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
3
5
L
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
H2H: Waterford vs Derry City
03.07.26
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
W
15.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
27.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
L
17.10.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
1
2
L
04.07.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
7
2
L
25.04.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
1
W
28.02.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
W
23.08.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
L
03.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
L
26.04.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
2
L
08.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
L
02.11.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
02.07.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
L
21.05.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
L
03.04.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
W
Last matches: Waterford
09.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
L
20.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Kerry
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Riverstown FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Waterford
15.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
17.10.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
1
2
L
25.04.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
1
W
23.08.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
L
26.04.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
2
L
02.11.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
21.05.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
L
Last matches: Derry City
21.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
3
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
23.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Polessya
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
H2H away: Derry City
15.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
17.10.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
1
2
W
25.04.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
1
L
23.08.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
W
26.04.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
2
W
02.11.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
21.05.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
W
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 54 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 22 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:34 | 13 | 47 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 37 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | -2 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 33 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Waterford
Home
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37:48 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 9 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:45 | -22 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation