IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
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Regional Sports Centre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Waterford Win 35.9%
Draw 16.2%
Bohemians Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford1.28
Bohemians1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waterford Waterford
WWDLW
47 GF / 57 GA
Bohemians Bohemians
WLDWL
60 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
20
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
20
3.58
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waterford Waterford 33 matches
Bohemians Bohemians 36 matches
Waterford Statistic Bohemians
10 Wins 17
10 Draws 11
13 Losses 8
47 Goals For 60
57 Goals Against 39
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
20 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 20
14 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 5
3.58 Shots On Goal 4.43
12 Total Shots 13.5
4.77 Corners 5.25
37.8% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bohemians's more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bohemians. Bohemians carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 43 points while Waterford sit 9 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Waterford expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Bohemians in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bohemians having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Waterford Analysis

Waterford sit 9 with 22 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tom Lonergan (7 goals), Pádraig Amond (4 goals), John Mahon (3 goals), with creative support from Tom Lonergan (2 assists), Conan Noonan (2 assists), Dean McMenamy (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bohemians Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 43 points from 25 games, Bohemians bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:27, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by D. James-Taylor (3 goals), R. Tierney (3 goals), C. Whelan (3 goals), with creative support from D. James-Taylor (3 assists), H. Vaughan (3 assists), D. Devoy (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 7 times, Bohemians won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Waterford's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Waterford 3-4-1-2 / Bohemians 5-4-1
H2H summary: Waterford wins 7, draws 2, Bohemians wins 6
Last matches: Waterford
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
Last matches: Bohemians
02.08.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
3
L
22.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
2
0
W
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
15.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
H2H: Waterford vs Bohemians
06.04.26
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
06.03.26
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
30.01.26
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
L
19.09.25
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
2
1
L
20.06.25
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
W
02.05.25
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
1
2
W
07.03.25
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
0
3
L
25.10.24
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
09.08.24
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
2
3
W
31.05.24
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
W
05.04.24
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
0
1
W
25.10.21
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
1
2
W
22.10.21
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
0
W
29.05.21
H2H
Bohemians
Waterford
3
0
L
Last matches: Waterford
02.08.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
0
W
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
L
20.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Kerry
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Riverstown FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Waterford
06.03.26
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
30.01.26
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
L
20.06.25
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
W
07.03.25
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
0
3
L
25.10.24
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
W
07.08.21
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
0
W
Last matches: Bohemians
30.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
Ballkani
2
3
L
16.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
0
0
D
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
3
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Waterford
4
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
1
D
H2H away: Bohemians
06.03.26
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
W
30.01.26
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
W
20.06.25
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
L
07.03.25
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
0
3
W
25.10.24
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
L
07.08.21
H2H
Waterford
Bohemians
1
0
L

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 6 5 40:22 18 51
D W W D W
2 26 12 8 6 41:22 19 44
D D D W L
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
D W W W L
4 26 9 10 7 40:38 2 37
D D L L L
5 25 8 10 7 35:36 -1 34
L W D L D
6 26 6 12 8 33:32 1 30
D L W D L
7 25 7 8 10 33:40 -7 29
D D W L L
8 26 6 9 11 31:43 -12 27
D D W L L
9 26 5 10 11 34:47 -13 25
W D D W W
10 26 5 7 14 23:43 -20 22
D D L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation