NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Warri Township Stadium
Warri Wolves
Match Timeline
Abia Warriors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
I. Obot
Abia Warriors
19'
C. Orji
Warri Wolves
62'
C. Orji
Warri Wolves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Warri Wolves Win 81%
Draw 0%
Abia Warriors Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Warri Wolves0.9
Abia Warriors0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Warri Wolves Warri Wolves
WWDLW
34 GF / 40 GA
Abia Warriors Abia Warriors
WLDWL
30 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
13
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Warri Wolves Warri Wolves 37 matches
Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 37 matches
Warri Wolves Statistic Abia Warriors
12 Wins 16
10 Draws 7
15 Losses 14
34 Goals For 30
40 Goals Against 32
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
13 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 0
16 Clean Sheets 16
14 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Abia Warriors having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Abia Warriors. Abia Warriors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 55 points while Warri Wolves sit 17 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Warri Wolves Analysis

Warri Wolves approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 46 points from 37 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 34:40 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Igbunu (10 goals), O. Egbo (4 goals), A. Adebambo (2 goals), with creative support from E. Bakare (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Abia Warriors Analysis

Abia Warriors sit 7 with 55 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 30:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Obioma (8 goals), C. Azubuike (4 goals), S. Megwo (4 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Warri Wolves won 3 times, Abia Warriors won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Warri Wolves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Warri Wolves wins 3, draws 0, Abia Warriors wins 4
Last matches: Warri Wolves
10.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
03.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Plateau United
1
0
W
19.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
0
3
L
12.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kun Khalifat FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Rivers United
2
0
W
29.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Ikorodu City
3
4
L
22.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
15.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bayelsa United
1
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enyimba
2
1
W
01.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Niger Tornadoes
0
0
D
21.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Barau FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Shooting Stars
2
4
L
08.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
El Kanemi Warriors
0
0
D
02.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kwara United
1
2
L
29.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Remo Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enugu Rangers
2
4
L
19.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
2
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Wikki Tourist
2
2
D
21.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
Last matches: Abia Warriors
10.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kun Khalifat FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Rivers United
0
3
L
19.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
2
1
W
11.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
06.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bayelsa United
1
0
W
29.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enyimba
1
2
L
23.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
15.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Barau FC
0
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Shooting Stars
2
0
W
28.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
El Kanemi Warriors
0
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kwara United
1
0
W
15.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Remo Stars
1
1
D
08.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
01.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Katsina United
0
2
L
28.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Nasarawa United
1
2
L
18.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kano Pillars
1
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Plateau United
1
1
D
28.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Plateau United
1
0
W
21.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
0
W
H2H: Warri Wolves vs Abia Warriors
24.05.26
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
21.12.25
H2H
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
0
L
04.07.21
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
21.02.21
H2H
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
4
1
L
24.05.20
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
0
0
D
26.01.20
H2H
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
0
L
17.07.16
H2H
Abia Warriors
Warri Wolves
1
0
L
14.04.16
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
1
0
W
Last matches: Warri Wolves
03.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Plateau United
1
0
W
05.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Rivers United
2
0
W
22.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
08.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enyimba
2
1
W
21.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Barau FC
0
0
D
08.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
El Kanemi Warriors
0
0
D
29.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Remo Stars
1
0
W
19.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
2
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Wikki Tourist
2
2
D
14.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kano Pillars
0
0
D
30.11.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
23.11.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kun Khalifat FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Ikorodu City
0
2
L
26.10.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
12.10.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Niger Tornadoes
1
1
D
28.09.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Shooting Stars
1
2
L
14.09.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kwara United
0
0
D
31.08.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enugu Rangers
2
0
W
H2H at home: Warri Wolves
24.05.26
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
04.07.21
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
24.05.20
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
0
0
D
14.04.16
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
1
0
W
Last matches: Abia Warriors
03.05.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Rivers United
0
3
L
11.04.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
29.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enyimba
1
2
L
15.03.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Barau FC
0
2
L
28.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
El Kanemi Warriors
0
2
L
15.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Remo Stars
1
1
D
01.02.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Katsina United
0
2
L
18.01.26
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kano Pillars
1
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Plateau United
1
0
W
14.12.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kun Khalifat FC
1
0
W
30.11.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
0
1
L
16.11.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Bayelsa United
1
2
L
02.11.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
19.10.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Shooting Stars
0
2
L
08.10.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
05.10.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Kwara United
1
0
W
07.09.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Wikki Tourist
0
1
L
31.08.25
NPF
Abia Warriors
Nasarawa United
0
1
L
H2H away: Abia Warriors
24.05.26
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
1
L
04.07.21
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
0
L
24.05.20
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
0
0
D
14.04.16
H2H
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation