ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
03.10.2026 14:00
Bescot Stadium

Walsall vs Crawley Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Walsall Win 68.8%
Draw 8.9%
Crawley Town Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Walsall1.23
Crawley Town0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Walsall Walsall
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Crawley Town Crawley Town
WLDWL
8 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
3
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Walsall Walsall 12 matches
Crawley Town Crawley Town 10 matches
Walsall Statistic Crawley Town
3 Wins 2
7 Draws 1
2 Losses 7
11 Goals For 8
11 Goals Against 17
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 1
7 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.29
14.63 Total Shots 14
6.5 Corners 4.43
57.5% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Walsall's more proactive style and Crawley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Walsall expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Crawley Town in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crawley Town having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Crawley Town. Walsall arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to Crawley Town in 24 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Crawley Town arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Walsall Analysis

Walsall come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 13 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, while the 10:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Smith (1 goals), A. Pressley (1 goals), J. Connolly (1 goals), with creative support from R. Smith (1 assists), M. Hancock (1 assists), E. Ahui (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Crawley Town Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 24, Crawley Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 6:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Aderoju (2 goals), D. Orsi (1 goals), L. Watson (1 goals), with creative support from D. Orsi (1 assists), K. Gordon (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Walsall won 5 times, Crawley Town won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Walsall's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Walsall 4-2-3-1 / Crawley Town 4-4-2
H2H summary: Walsall wins 5, draws 7, Crawley Town wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
2 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
W D W D W
3 8 5 0 3 13:11 2 15
W L L W W
4 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
5 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
6 8 3 4 1 12:8 4 13
L W W D D
7 8 4 1 3 12:10 2 13
W W D W W
8 8 3 3 2 11:9 2 12
L W W W D
9 8 2 6 0 8:6 2 12
D D D D D
10 8 2 5 1 10:8 2 11
D D L W D
11 8 3 2 3 11:10 1 11
L W W D D
12 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
D L L W W
13 8 2 4 2 11:11 0 10
D W D L D
14 8 2 4 2 9:9 0 10
L L D W D
15 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
16 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
W W D L W
17 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
W D D L L
18 8 2 2 4 7:13 -6 8
D D W L L
19 8 1 4 3 11:14 -3 7
D D L W D
20 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
21 8 1 3 4 4:6 -2 6
L D L D D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League