SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
58.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Wally Daan Win 50%
Draw 5.6%
AJEL Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wally Daan0.81
AJEL0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wally Daan Wally Daan
WWDLW
21 GF / 17 GA
AJEL AJEL
WLDWL
22 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
11
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wally Daan Wally Daan 23 matches
AJEL AJEL 23 matches
Wally Daan Statistic AJEL
8 Wins 12
10 Draws 7
5 Losses 4
21 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 15
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
11 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
9 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AJEL. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AJEL having the stronger overall control.

Wally Daan Analysis

Wally Daan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 34 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, with a 21:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

AJEL Analysis

AJEL arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 43 points after 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 22:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Wally Daan won 0 times, AJEL won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Wally Daan's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Wally Daan wins 0, draws 2, AJEL wins 2
Last matches: Wally Daan
04.06.26
Lig
Wally Daan
La Linguère
1
1
D
22.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Gorée
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Guédiawaye
3
2
W
13.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Teungueth
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
DSC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Ouakam
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
HLM
2
1
W
30.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
AS Camberene
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Casa Sport
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Jaraaf
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Pikine
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Sonacos
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Génération Foot
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
La Linguère
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Gorée
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Teungueth
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
DSC
1
1
D
Last matches: AJEL
04.06.26
Lig
AJEL
Génération Foot
1
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
AJEL
La Linguère
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Gorée
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Teungueth
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Stade de Mbour
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
AJEL
DSC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
AJEL
Ouakam
1
0
W
29.03.26
Lig
AJEL
HLM
0
3
L
25.03.26
Lig
AJEL
AS Camberene
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Casa Sport
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Jaraaf
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Pikine
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
AJEL
Sonacos
1
0
W
15.02.26
Lig
AJEL
Génération Foot
2
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
AJEL
La Linguère
0
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Gorée
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Teungueth
0
2
L
07.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
H2H: Wally Daan vs AJEL
25.04.26
H2H
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
0
D
28.12.25
H2H
AJEL
Wally Daan
0
0
D
01.03.25
H2H
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
1
L
20.10.24
H2H
AJEL
Wally Daan
1
0
L
Last matches: Wally Daan
22.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Gorée
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Teungueth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Wally Daan
HLM
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Casa Sport
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Pikine
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Sonacos
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
La Linguère
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Wally Daan
DSC
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lig
Wally Daan
Ouakam
0
0
D
07.12.25
Lig
Wally Daan
AS Camberene
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Wally Daan
Jaraaf
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Wally Daan
Génération Foot
0
0
D
H2H at home: Wally Daan
25.04.26
H2H
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
0
D
01.03.25
H2H
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
1
L
Last matches: AJEL
04.06.26
Lig
AJEL
Génération Foot
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Gorée
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
AJEL
Teungueth
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
AJEL
DSC
0
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
AJEL
HLM
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Casa Sport
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
AJEL
Pikine
2
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
AJEL
La Linguère
0
2
L
25.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
AJEL
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
14.12.25
Lig
AJEL
Ouakam
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
AJEL
AS Camberene
1
1
D
16.11.25
Lig
AJEL
Jaraaf
2
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
AJEL
Sonacos
1
1
D
H2H away: AJEL
25.04.26
H2H
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
0
D
01.03.25
H2H
Wally Daan
AJEL
0
1
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2
AJEL Away
30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation