04.10.2026 18:45
Cardiff City Stadium
Referee: Irfan Peljto
Wales
Match Timeline
Denmark
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg ↔ Andreas Skov Olsen
Denmark
🟨
29'
Liam Cullen
Wales
🔄
56'
Jordan James ↔ Josh Sheehan
Wales
🔄
56'
Lewis Koumas ↔ Mark Harris
Wales
🟨
66'
Ben Cabango
Wales
⚽
75'
Rasmus Hojlund
Denmark
🔄
76'
Rasmus Kristensen ↔ Anton Gaaei
Denmark
🔄
76'
Liam Cullen ↔ Joel Colwill
Wales
🔄
76'
Brennan Johnson ↔ Wes Burns
Wales
🟨
80'
Sorba Thomas
Wales
🔄
82'
Rasmus Hojlund ↔ Kasper Hogh
Denmark
🔄
82'
Gustav Isaksen ↔ Mathias Kvistgaarden
Denmark
🔄
83'
Ben Davies ↔ Kieffer Moore
Wales
🟨
90+4'
Mads Hermansen
Denmark

Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.7%
1.80 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.95 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wales Win 39.3%
Draw 25.4%
Denmark Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wales1.14
Denmark1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wales Wales
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Denmark Denmark
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
4
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
4.17
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wales Wales 6 matches
Denmark Denmark 5 matches
Wales Statistic Denmark
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
5 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 8
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
4.17 Shots On Goal 4
13 Total Shots 11
5.17 Corners 2.6
53.7% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Wales won 0 times, Denmark won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from Wales's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Wales 4-2-3-1 / Denmark 4-4-2
H2H summary: Wales wins 0, draws 0, Denmark wins 3

Standings

League A - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:3 4 9
W W W
2 3 1 0 2 6:7 -1 3
L W L
3 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
L L W
4
Wales Home
3 1 0 2 2:4 -2 3
W L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation