EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Al Salam Stadium
Referee: M. Abdelaziz
Wadi Degla
Match Timeline
Masr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
40'
Abdelrahman El Sakran · Assist: A. Fathy
Masr
🟨
46'
Zizo
Wadi Degla
🔄
46'
I. Adel ↔ A. El Shimi
Wadi Degla
48'
A. Atef · Assist: A. Fathy
Masr
54'
M. Ragab · Assist: A. El Shimi
Wadi Degla
🔄
63'
P. Mutumosi Zilu ↔ H. Alaa
Masr
🔄
66'
A. Scholes ↔ D. Miskic
Wadi Degla
🔄
66'
Y. Oya ↔ M. Abdelrahim
Wadi Degla
🟥
69'
Ahmed Dahroug
Wadi Degla
VAR
69'
Ahmed Dahroug
Wadi Degla
🔄
72'
M. Magassa ↔ S. Hussein
Masr
🔄
73'
A. Atef ↔ R. Khalil
Masr
🔄
77'
Zizo ↔ A. Reda
Wadi Degla
🟨
80'
Mohamed Rabia
Masr
🔄
83'
M. Kaandorp ↔ A. Hussein
Wadi Degla
🔄
83'
Abdelrahman El Sakran ↔ A. Emad
Masr
🔄
83'
S. Ibrahim ↔ A. Gamal
Masr
🟨
90'
Ahmed El-Saghiri
Masr
90'
A. Hussein
Wadi Degla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wadi Degla Win 61.9%
Draw 5.7%
Masr Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wadi Degla1.1
Masr1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wadi Degla Wadi Degla
WWDLW
38 GF / 27 GA
Masr Masr
WLDWL
36 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.16
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
18
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
12
3.23
Shots on Goal
3.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 31 matches
Masr Masr 31 matches
Wadi Degla Statistic Masr
12 Wins 12
13 Draws 11
6 Losses 8
38 Goals For 36
27 Goals Against 28
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
18 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 7
3.23 Shots On Goal 3.87
10.48 Total Shots 10.81
5.23 Corners 3.9
54.7% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Masr. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wadi Degla expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Masr in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Masr having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Wadi Degla Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Wadi Degla have collected 49 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 15:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Boli (9 goals), M. Diasty (5 goals), Ahmed Farouk (4 goals), with creative support from M. Diasty (5 assists), M. Magassa (2 assists), Mohamed Abdelrahim (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Masr Analysis

Masr are currently 9 in the standings with 47 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Mohsen (7 goals), A. Atef (6 goals), O. El Saaiy (6 goals), with creative support from M. Saber (6 assists), A. Deghmoum (4 assists), Ahmed Adel (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Wadi Degla won 5 times, Masr won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Wadi Degla's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Wadi Degla 4-2-3-1 / Masr 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Wadi Degla wins 5, draws 2, Masr wins 4

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9
Masr Away
20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)