EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
29.04.2026 17:00
Al Salam Stadium
Referee: T. Magdy
Wadi Degla
Match Timeline
Al Ittihad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
F. Boli
Wadi Degla
12'
H. Hassan · Assist: F. Boli
Wadi Degla
VAR
15'
Hamza Hassan
Wadi Degla
VAR
34'
Abdel Rahman Magdi
Al Ittihad
🔄
46'
K. El Deeb ↔ A. Mohamed
Al Ittihad
🟨
49'
Zizo
Wadi Degla
🔄
63'
J. Ebuka ↔ A. Eid
Al Ittihad
🔄
63'
Afsha ↔ M. Dunga
Al Ittihad
🔄
64'
A. Magdi ↔ F. Farid
Al Ittihad
🔄
68'
Zizo ↔ H. Mohamed
Wadi Degla
🔄
68'
D. Miskic ↔ M. Diasty
Wadi Degla
🔄
73'
M. Kaandorp ↔ M. Abdelaati
Wadi Degla
🔄
73'
H. Hassan ↔ I. Adel
Wadi Degla
🟨
76'
Ragab El Safi
Wadi Degla
🔄
78'
A. Reda ↔ A. Dahroug
Wadi Degla
81'
F. Boli · Assist: M. Diasty
Wadi Degla
🔄
82'
M. Emad ↔ Mabululu
Al Ittihad
84'
H. Mohamed
Wadi Degla
🟨
88'
Seif Teka
Wadi Degla
89'
F. Farid
Al Ittihad
🟨
90+1'
Mohamed Abdel Aati
Wadi Degla

Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
70.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wadi Degla Win 75.6%
Draw 6.2%
Al Ittihad Win 18.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wadi Degla1.1
Al Ittihad0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wadi Degla Wadi Degla
WWDLW
28 GF / 20 GA
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
13
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
3.04
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 26 matches
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 26 matches
Wadi Degla Statistic Al Ittihad
10 Wins 7
11 Draws 7
5 Losses 12
28 Goals For 21
20 Goals Against 29
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 10
3.04 Shots On Goal 2.88
10.23 Total Shots 9.23
5.27 Corners 3.88
53.9% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Wadi Degla arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 41 points compared to Al Ittihad in 17 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Al Ittihad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Wadi Degla Analysis

So far, Wadi Degla have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 41 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 5:0 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Boli (6 goals), Ahmed Farouk (4 goals), M. Diasty (3 goals), with creative support from M. Diasty (3 assists), M. Magassa (2 assists), Youssef Oya (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Al Ittihad Analysis

Al Ittihad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 28 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, together with goals at 6:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ebuka (5 goals), F. Farid (3 goals), Afsha (2 goals), with creative support from A. Liadi (3 assists), Afsha (2 assists), K. El Deeb (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wadi Degla won 8 times, Al Ittihad won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Wadi Degla's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Wadi Degla 4-2-3-1 / Al Ittihad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wadi Degla wins 8, draws 4, Al Ittihad wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)