NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

01.05.2026 18:00

Waalwijk

Penalties 3-1

1 - 1

Roda

Mandemakers Stadion

Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands

Waalwijk

Match Timeline

Roda

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Waalwijk vs Roda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 57.5%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 11.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 29.4%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	57.5%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	11.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	29.4%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	69.4%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Waalwijk Win 57.5%

Draw 4.6%

Roda Win 37.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Waalwijk1.66

Roda1.53

Recent Form (Last 5)

Waalwijk

WWDLW

73 GF / 61 GA

Roda

WLDWL

61 GF / 56 GA

Key Stats

1.83

Average Goals Scored

1.53

Average Goals Conceded

1.4

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.36

Shots on Goal

5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waalwijk 40 matches

Roda 40 matches

Waalwijk	Statistic	Roda
16	Wins	14
12	Draws	15
12	Losses	11
73	Goals For	61
61	Goals Against	56
1.83	Avg Goals Scored	1.53
1.53	Avg Goals Conceded	1.4
31	BTTS Yes	26
37	Over 1.5	34
27	Over 2.5	23
18	Over 3.5	15
7	Clean Sheets	8
3	Failed To Score	8
5.36	Shots On Goal	5.05
14.79	Total Shots	13.9
4.85	Corners	5.21
50.4%	Ball Possession	52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk won 6 times, Roda won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Waalwijk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)

Predicted formations: Waalwijk 4-2-3-1 / Roda 4-3-3

Missing players: Waalwijk 4, Roda 2

H2H summary: Waalwijk wins 6, draws 3, Roda wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L