NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
04.09.2026 18:00
Mandemakers Stadion
Referee: D. Higler
Waalwijk
Match Timeline
NAC Breda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Rio·Hillen
Waalwijk
🟨
27'
Leo Greiml
NAC Breda
🟥
37'
Leo Greiml
NAC Breda
🔄
45'
Rio·Hillen ↔ Mylan Brouwers
NAC Breda
🔄
45'
Paul Gladon ↔ Gabriel Osei Misehouy
NAC Breda
🔄
45'
Boyd Lucassen ↔ Mohamed Bouchouari
NAC Breda
🔄
45'
Maximilien Balard ↔ Brahim Ghalidi
NAC Breda
🟨
54'
Loek Postma
Waalwijk
56'
Thijs van Leeuwen · Assist: Juan Familia-Castillo
Waalwijk
64'
Mohamed Nassoh · Assist: Gabriel Osei Misehouy
NAC Breda
🔄
66'
Brahim Ghalidi ↔ Imran Nazih
NAC Breda
🔄
68'
Loek Postma ↔ R. van Hedel
Waalwijk
🔄
68'
Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela ↔ Yoram van der Veen
Waalwijk
🟨
69'
Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
Waalwijk
75'
F. Al Mazyani · Assist: Yoram van der Veen
Waalwijk
🟨
79'
Mohamed Nassoh
NAC Breda
🔄
79'
Jochem Nap ↔ Jesse van de Haar
Waalwijk
🔄
79'
Ryan Fage ↔ Azzedine Dkidak
Waalwijk
83'
Mohamed Nassoh
NAC Breda
🔄
90+1'
Finn Stokkers ↔ Sven van der Plas
Waalwijk
90+3'
Jordy de Wijs · Assist: Azzedine Dkidak
Waalwijk

Waalwijk vs NAC Breda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.1%
2.25
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Waalwijk Win 33.3%
Draw 9.6%
NAC Breda Win 57.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waalwijk1.48
NAC Breda1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waalwijk Waalwijk
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
NAC Breda NAC Breda
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
9
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
6
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waalwijk Waalwijk 12 matches
NAC Breda NAC Breda 10 matches
Waalwijk Statistic NAC Breda
2 Wins 5
8 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
16 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
9 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 3
6 Shots On Goal 5.5
15.25 Total Shots 22.25
3 Corners 7.25
53.5% Ball Possession 62.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk won 6 times, NAC Breda won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:25 from Waalwijk's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.85 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: Waalwijk 4-2-3-1 / NAC Breda 4-4-2
H2H summary: Waalwijk wins 6, draws 1, NAC Breda wins 6

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 24:10 14 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:4 12 16
W W L W W
3 7 5 0 2 19:11 8 15
W W L W W
4 7 3 4 0 18:9 9 13
W W W D D
5 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W W L
6 7 4 1 2 10:15 -5 13
L L D W W
7 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
8 7 3 3 1 7:5 2 12
D W D D W
9 7 4 0 3 17:17 0 12
L L W L W
10 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
11 7 3 1 3 13:15 -2 10
W L L D W
12 7 3 1 3 11:13 -2 10
W W D L L
13 7 3 0 4 17:14 3 9
L W L W L
14 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
L W W L D
15 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
16 7 2 1 4 12:16 -4 7
W L L L W
17 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
18 7 2 0 5 8:12 -4 6
W L L W L
19 7 1 1 5 9:21 -12 4
L L L L L
20 7 1 1 5 8:20 -12 4
L W L L L
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)