NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
24.04.2026 18:00
Mandemakers Stadion
Referee: R. Martens
Waalwijk
Match Timeline
Jong PSV U21
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
R. Fage
Waalwijk
🔄
21'
S. van der Plas ↔ W. Kuhn
Jong PSV U21
🔄
34'
↔ S. Sidibe
Jong PSV U21
🔄
46'
G. Roemeratoe ↔ R. van Hedel
Waalwijk
🔄
46'
L. van Gelderen ↔ M. Witteveen
Waalwijk
🟨
47'
Ryan Fage
Waalwijk
⚽
49'
D. Cleonise · Assist: Y. van Osch
Waalwijk
🔄
63'
J. Boetius ↔ D. van Kaam
Waalwijk
🔄
63'
H. Kuster ↔ J. Uneken
Waalwijk
🟥
70'
Rein van Hedel
Waalwijk
⚽
73'
S. Bouhoudane · Assist: N. Fernandez
Jong PSV U21
🔄
76'
D. Cleonise ↔ R. van der Venne
Waalwijk
🟨
78'
Tim van der Leij
Waalwijk
🔄
79'
J. Bawuah ↔ S. Ditmer
Jong PSV U21
🔄
80'
N. Verkooijen ↔ A. Jones
Jong PSV U21
🔄
80'
J. Koller ↔ S. Cornecion
Jong PSV U21
⚽
85'
R. van der Venne · Assist: R. Fage
Waalwijk
⚽
90'
R. van der Venne · Assist: J. Familia-Castillo
Waalwijk

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Waalwijk Win 36.5%
Draw 13%
Jong PSV U21 Win 50.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waalwijk1.73
Jong PSV U211.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waalwijk Waalwijk
WWDLW
67 GF / 58 GA
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
WLDWL
65 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
28
BTTS Yes
22
26
Over 2.5
24
5.32
Shots on Goal
5.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waalwijk Waalwijk 37 matches
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 37 matches
Waalwijk Statistic Jong PSV U21
15 Wins 17
10 Draws 5
12 Losses 15
67 Goals For 65
58 Goals Against 60
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
28 BTTS Yes 22
34 Over 1.5 31
26 Over 2.5 24
17 Over 3.5 16
7 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 7
5.32 Shots On Goal 5.46
14.76 Total Shots 14.19
4.89 Corners 4.84
50.5% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Waalwijk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Jong PSV U21 in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong PSV U21 having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Jong PSV U21. Jong PSV U21 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Waalwijk Analysis

Waalwijk sit 7 with 55 points after 37 league matches. The record of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 66:53 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Uneken (14 goals), T. van der Leij (13 goals), Harrie Kuster (10 goals), with creative support from D. Cleonise (7 assists), J. Uneken (6 assists), J. Familia-Castillo (6 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Jong PSV U21 Analysis

Jong PSV U21 sit 6 with 56 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 63:59 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. van Duiven (14 goals), N. Verkooijen (8 goals), J. van den Berg (7 goals), with creative support from E. Bassey (5 assists), T. Abed (4 assists), J. van den Berg (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk won 2 times, Jong PSV U21 won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Waalwijk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.56 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Waalwijk 4-2-3-1 / Jong PSV U21 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Waalwijk wins 2, draws 2, Jong PSV U21 wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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