NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
03.10.2026 18:00
Mandemakers Stadion
Waalwijk
Match Timeline
Emmen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Joshua Mukeh
Emmen
🟨
28'
Luca Everink
Emmen
⚽
28'
Jesse van de Haar · Assist: Ryan fage
Waalwijk
🟨
44'
Torben Rhein
Emmen
🔄
46'
Torben Rhein ↔ Sybrand Veldhuis
Emmen
🔄
46'
Joshua Mukeh ↔ Christian ostergaard
Emmen
🟨
59'
Jesse van de Haar
Waalwijk
⚽
61'
Bryan Van Hove · Assist: Daan Lambers
Emmen
🔄
62'
Ryan fage ↔ Yoram van der Veen
Waalwijk
🔄
75'
Loek Postma ↔ Tim van de Loo
Waalwijk
🔄
75'
Jesse van de Haar ↔ Finn Stokkers
Waalwijk
🔄
75'
Virgil Misidjan ↔ Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
Waalwijk
🔄
75'
Bryan Van Hove ↔ Vincent Carus
Emmen
🔄
76'
Daan Lambers ↔ Chiel Sunder
Emmen
🔄
82'
Bart Kemmeren ↔ R. van Hedel
Waalwijk
🟨
84'
Finn Stokkers
Waalwijk
🟨
89'
Rodney Kongolo
Emmen
🔄
90+1'
Casper Staring ↔ Luca Denk
Emmen

Waalwijk vs Emmen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
2.19 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.50 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Waalwijk Win 77.2%
Draw 4.8%
Emmen Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waalwijk1.88
Emmen1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waalwijk Waalwijk
WWDLW
28 GF / 20 GA
Emmen Emmen
WLDWL
24 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
11
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
9
5.75
Shots on Goal
7.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waalwijk Waalwijk 16 matches
Emmen Emmen 12 matches
Waalwijk Statistic Emmen
5 Wins 6
8 Draws 0
3 Losses 6
28 Goals For 24
20 Goals Against 25
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
11 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
5.75 Shots On Goal 7.25
15.25 Total Shots 18.88
4.13 Corners 6.88
51.8% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Waalwijk's more proactive style and Emmen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Emmen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Emmen. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Waalwijk Analysis

Waalwijk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 13 points after 7 outings. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 18:9, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Keyan Varela (3 goals), F. Al Mazyani (2 goals), J. van de Haar (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo (3 assists), J. Nap (3 assists), Keyan Varela (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Emmen Analysis

Emmen approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 17:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Quispel (6 goals), J. Cooper (5 goals), M. Breij (2 goals), with creative support from L. Everink (3 assists), B. Van Hove (3 assists), J. Cooper (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk won 3 times, Emmen won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Waalwijk's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Waalwijk 4-2-3-1 / Emmen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Waalwijk wins 3, draws 4, Emmen wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 28:12 16 22
D W L W W
2 8 5 1 2 18:7 11 16
L W W L W
3 8 5 1 2 12:15 -3 16
W L L D W
4 8 5 0 3 21:14 7 15
L W W L W
5 8 4 3 1 9:5 4 15
W D W D D
6
Emmen Away
8 5 0 3 18:17 1 15
W L L W L
7 8 3 4 1 18:11 7 13
L W W W D
8 8 4 1 3 13:11 2 13
L W L W W
9 8 4 1 3 17:17 0 13
W W L L D
10 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
11 8 4 0 4 20:16 4 12
W L W L W
12 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
13 8 3 1 4 13:17 -4 10
L W W D L
14 9 2 3 4 15:16 -1 9
D L L W W
15 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
16 8 2 1 5 12:17 -5 7
L W L L L
17 8 2 1 5 12:23 -11 7
W L L L L
18 8 2 1 5 9:20 -11 7
W L W L L
19 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
20 8 2 0 6 8:13 -5 6
L W L L W
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)