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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
04.10.2026 12:30
Seacon Stadion De Koel
Referee: Wouter Wiersma
VVV Venlo
Match Timeline
Roda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Philip Heise
VVV Venlo
🟨
43'
Dyon Dorenbosch
Roda
⚽
53'
L. Schmidt · Assist: Raf Vullers
VVV Venlo
🟨
56'
Marco Tol
Roda
🔄
60'
Cain Seedorf ↔ Joey Sleegers
Roda
🔄
61'
Koen Jansen ↔ Rayan Khoums
Roda
🔄
61'
Dyon Dorenbosch ↔ Mitchel Paulissen
Roda
🔄
61'
Tristan Schenkhuizen ↔ Ismail Oulad M'Hand
VVV Venlo
🔄
69'
X. van den Berg ↔ Fynn Schenten
Roda
🟨
71'
Edhy Zuliani
VVV Venlo
🔄
72'
L. Schmidt ↔ Mattheos Tsigkas
VVV Venlo
🔄
72'
Edhy Zuliani ↔ Amir rais
VVV Venlo
🔄
79'
Dario Van Den Buijs ↔ Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
Roda
🔄
82'
Philip Heise ↔ Michael Davis
VVV Venlo
🔄
82'
Andreas Verstraeten ↔ Yousri El Anbri
VVV Venlo
🟨
83'
Joshua Nisbet
Roda
🟨
87'
Yousri El Anbri
VVV Venlo
⚽
90+1'
Amir rais · Assist: Ismail Oulad M'Hand
VVV Venlo
🟨
90+4'
Mitchel Paulissen
Roda

VVV Venlo vs Roda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VVV Venlo Win 60.8%
Draw 11.5%
Roda Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VVV Venlo1.93
Roda2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
WWDLW
37 GF / 34 GA
Roda Roda
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.31
Average Goals Scored
1.93
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
13
BTTS Yes
7
14
Over 2.5
6
5.63
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 16 matches
Roda Roda 14 matches
VVV Venlo Statistic Roda
8 Wins 6
1 Draws 4
7 Losses 4
37 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 19
2.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
13 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 6
11 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
5.63 Shots On Goal 4.5
14.5 Total Shots 10.63
4.88 Corners 3.88
47.9% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VVV Venlo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Roda in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Roda having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Roda. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

VVV Venlo Analysis

VVV Venlo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 15 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Dean Zandbergen (4 goals), E. Zuliani (3 goals), É. Clancy (2 goals), with creative support from Lars de Blok (6 assists), A. Schalk (2 assists), E. Zuliani (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Roda Analysis

Roda arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 8 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Tol (2 goals), Bram Marsman (1 goals), L. Beerten (1 goals), with creative support from M. Paulissen (2 assists), Bram Marsman (1 assists), D. Dorenbosch (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VVV Venlo won 3 times, Roda won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from VVV Venlo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: VVV Venlo 4-2-3-1 / Roda 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: VVV Venlo wins 3, draws 6, Roda wins 6

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6
Roda Away
10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)