NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
24.04.2026 18:00
Seacon - De Koel
Referee: K. Puts
VVV Venlo
Match Timeline
Almere City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
N. Foor
VVV Venlo
⚽
31'
D. Zandbergen
VVV Venlo
⚽
43'
D. Zandbergen · Assist: P. Heise
VVV Venlo
🔄
46'
J. Wendlinger ↔ T. Kuijsten
Almere City FC
🔄
46'
J. Rijkhoff ↔ J. Jacobs
Almere City FC
🔄
46'
E. Poku ↔ O. de Nijs
Almere City FC
🟨
58'
Boyd Reith
Almere City FC
🔄
61'
D. Timber ↔ J. Kluskens
VVV Venlo
🔄
61'
D. Saddiki ↔ Y. el Anbri
VVV Venlo
🔄
65'
E. Cornelisse ↔ M. de Haan
Almere City FC
🔄
65'
F. Druijf ↔ B. Huisman
Almere City FC
🔄
71'
J. Triep ↔ L. Kromah
VVV Venlo
🔄
71'
N. Foor ↔ N. Matoug
VVV Venlo
🔄
79'
Y. Sbai ↔ L. Wehmeyer
VVV Venlo
⚽
85'
O. de Nijs
Almere City FC

VVV Venlo vs Almere City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VVV Venlo Win 21.3%
Draw 10.3%
Almere City FC Win 68.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
VVV Venlo1.41
Almere City FC1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
WWDLW
47 GF / 57 GA
Almere City FC Almere City FC
WLDWL
77 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
18
BTTS Yes
25
22
Over 2.5
27
4.35
Shots on Goal
6.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 37 matches
Almere City FC Almere City FC 37 matches
VVV Venlo Statistic Almere City FC
12 Wins 18
6 Draws 4
19 Losses 15
47 Goals For 77
57 Goals Against 60
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
18 BTTS Yes 25
28 Over 1.5 33
22 Over 2.5 27
12 Over 3.5 20
7 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 4
4.35 Shots On Goal 6.08
13.46 Total Shots 16.51
5.16 Corners 6.92
49.1% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Almere City FC's more proactive style and VVV Venlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Almere City FC. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Almere City FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 58 points while VVV Venlo sit 14 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VVV Venlo expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Almere City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Almere City FC having the stronger overall control.

VVV Venlo Analysis

VVV Venlo sit 14 with 42 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 47:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Dean Zandbergen (13 goals), B. van Zijl (9 goals), L. de Blok (4 goals), with creative support from N. Foor (6 assists), L. de Blok (5 assists), B. van Zijl (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almere City FC Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 58 points from 37 games, Almere City FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 4 draws, and 15 losses, with a 73:59 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Rijkhoff (17 goals), F. Druijf (12 goals), E. Poku (9 goals), with creative support from J. Kadile (7 assists), M. de Haan (7 assists), E. Poku (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: VVV Venlo 3-4-1-2 / Almere City FC 4-2-3-1

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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