CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Gradski vrt
Referee: D. Strukan
Vukovar
Match Timeline
NK Osijek
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Jakov Puljić
Vukovar
🟨
45+1'
Moreno Živković
Vukovar
🟨
48'
Vito Čaić
Vukovar
56'
J. Puljic · Assist: L. Banovec
Vukovar
🔄
57'
D. Bukvic ↔ I. Baric
NK Osijek
🔄
57'
O. Petrusenko ↔ V. Bubanja
NK Osijek
🟨
68'
David Mejía
NK Osijek
🔄
75'
L. Banovec ↔ A. Bosec
Vukovar
🔄
76'
S. Butic ↔ L. Kulusic
Vukovar
🔄
79'
J. Mersinaj ↔ R. Jurisic
NK Osijek
🔄
79'
T. Teklic ↔ L. Vrbancic
NK Osijek
🟨
80'
Borna Barišić
NK Osijek
🔄
89'
N. Omerovic ↔ J. Dedic
NK Osijek
🟨
90+4'
Lovre Kulušić
Vukovar
🔄
90+1'
J. Gurlica ↔ M. Tadic
Vukovar
🔄
90+1'
J. Puljic ↔ J. Spoljaric
Vukovar
🔄
90+5'
E. Shabani ↔ J. Biljan
Vukovar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 92.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
92.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vukovar Win 0%
Draw 7.9%
NK Osijek Win 92.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vukovar1.18
NK Osijek1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vukovar Vukovar
WWDLW
33 GF / 62 GA
NK Osijek NK Osijek
WLDWL
25 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
21
BTTS Yes
11
19
Over 2.5
11
2.63
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vukovar Vukovar 32 matches
NK Osijek NK Osijek 32 matches
Vukovar Statistic NK Osijek
5 Wins 7
10 Draws 11
17 Losses 14
33 Goals For 25
62 Goals Against 45
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
21 BTTS Yes 11
27 Over 1.5 21
19 Over 2.5 11
12 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 14
2.63 Shots On Goal 3.19
7.75 Total Shots 11.44
2.78 Corners 4.5
34.9% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NK Osijek. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vukovar Analysis

Vukovar sit 10 with 25 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, while the 33:62 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Puljic (14 goals), R. Gonzalez (7 goals), Lovro Banovec (3 goals), with creative support from Lovro Banovec (4 assists), R. Gonzalez (3 assists), M. Ticinovic (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Osijek Analysis

From their first 32 matches, NK Osijek have collected 32 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses, while the 25:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nail Omerović (8 goals), A. Jakupovic (3 goals), L. Jelenic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Colina (3 assists), S. Mikolcic (2 assists), Roko Jurišić (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vukovar won 1 times, NK Osijek won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Vukovar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Vukovar 4-2-3-1 / NK Osijek 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vukovar wins 1, draws 1, NK Osijek wins 3
Stats
Vukovar Vukovar
NK Osijek NK Osijek
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 4
19 Fouls 22
1 Offsides 0
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
281 Total passes 418
204 Passes accurate 344
0.48 expected_goals 1.06
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vukovar
Formation
NK Osijek
A. Djakovic
A. Djakovic
M. Zivkovic
M. Zivkovic
N. Vlasenko
N. Vlasenko
V. Caic
V. Caic
K. Cabrajic
K. Cabrajic
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
E. Shabani
E. Shabani
S. Butic
S. Butic
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
L. Banovec
🎯
L. Banovec
J. Puljic
J. Puljic
M. Malenica
M. Malenica
F. Karacic
F. Karacic
J. Mersinaj
J. Mersinaj
L. Jelenic
L. Jelenic
B. Barisic
B. Barisic
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
O. Petrusenko
O. Petrusenko
D. Bukvic
D. Bukvic
T. Teklic
T. Teklic
N. Omerovic
N. Omerovic
S. Akere
S. Akere
Vukovar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
A. Djakovic
G
14
M. Zivkovic
🟨 45+1'
D
5
N. Vlasenko
D
13
V. Caic
🟨 48'
D
20
K. Cabrajic
D
35
J. Gurlica
↓ 90+1'
M
77
E. Shabani
↓ 90+5'
M
27
S. Butic
↓ 76'
M
10
R. Gonzalez
M
28
L. Banovec
🎯 56' ↓ 75'
M
21
J. Puljic
⚽ 56' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 26'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bulat
G
19
A. Jurilj
M
34
M. Tadic
↑ 90+1'
D
39
P. Bugas
F
33
L. Klanac
F
50
J. Spoljaric
↑ 90+1'
M
6
J. Biljan
↑ 90+5'
M
8
A. Bosec
↑ 75'
D
4
H. Sabanovic
D
7
K. Calhanoglu
D
11
L. Kulusic
↑ 76' 🟨 90+4'
F
NK Osijek 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
M. Malenica
G
29
F. Karacic
D
5
J. Mersinaj
↓ 79'
D
26
L. Jelenic
D
3
B. Barisic
🟨 80'
D
6
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
🟨 68'
M
16
O. Petrusenko
↓ 57'
M
39
D. Bukvic
↓ 57'
M
99
T. Teklic
↓ 79'
M
11
N. Omerovic
↓ 89'
M
57
S. Akere
F
Substitutes
1
N. Curcija
G
38
D. Colina
D
22
R. Jurisic
↑ 79'
D
23
L. Vrbancic
↑ 79'
M
46
I. Baric
↑ 57'
F
21
V. Bubanja
↑ 57'
M
33
E. Hasic
D
49
I. Kolarik
D
98
M. Jovicic
F
18
N. Farkas
M
36
J. Dedic
↑ 89'
F
48
J. Jezic
M
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
15.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
Last matches: NK Osijek
04.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Paks
0
4
L
22.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
16.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
10.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
0
1
L
25.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
12.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
04.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
7
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
14.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
06.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
0
W
21.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
15.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
01.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
25.01.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
16.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Sumqayıt
2
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Qarabag
1
3
L
H2H: Vukovar vs NK Osijek
02.05.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
0
L
28.11.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
2
2
D
14.09.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Vukovar
4
0
L
25.09.22
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
1
L
Last matches: Vukovar
15.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Aresimi
4
0
W
12.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
2
0
W
28.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
2
2
D
27.10.25
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
0
W
17.10.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
04.10.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
22.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
3
2
W
30.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
L
22.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
2
2
D
15.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vukovar
02.05.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
28.11.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
2
2
D
25.09.22
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
1
L
Last matches: NK Osijek
16.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
21.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
04.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
7
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
06.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
21.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Gyori ETO FC
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Başakşehir
1
1
D
28.11.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
2
D
08.11.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
27.10.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
4
L
18.10.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
04.10.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
L
28.09.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
21.09.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
2
L
31.08.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
17.08.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
H2H away: NK Osijek
02.05.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
L
28.11.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
2
2
D
25.09.22
H2H
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
1
W

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation