FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
14.08.2026 15:00
Lemonsoft Stadion
Referee: J. Vuorinen
VPS
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
🔄
38'
J. Muzinga ↔ H. Salomaa
VPS
🟨
45+2'
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
45'
T. Zaal · Assist: P. Juvanteny
Turku PS
45'
A. Muzaci
Turku PS
🔄
46'
A. Raisanen ↔ X. Odhiambo
VPS
🟨
52'
Charlemagne Azongnitode
Turku PS
🟨
53'
Pau Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
61'
N. Talo ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🟨
62'
Xavier Odhiambo
VPS
🔄
75'
P. Juvanteny ↔ L. Ikonen
Turku PS
🔄
75'
M. Konkkola ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
75'
K. Visser ↔ N. Veinbergs
Turku PS
76'
X. Odhiambo · Assist: H. Salomaa
VPS
🔄
79'
↔ D. Terrnava
VPS
🔄
79'
K. Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ C. Holmelund
VPS
80'
N. Veinbergs · Assist: M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
86'
S. Lindholm ↔ Y. Daoussi
VPS
🟨
88'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
🟥
88'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
🔄
90'
T. Zaal ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS

VPS vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
VPS Win 78.6%
Draw 13.4%
Turku PS Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VPS1.24
Turku PS1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
VPS VPS
WWDLW
31 GF / 23 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
10
1.63
Shots on Goal
2.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VPS VPS 23 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 24 matches
VPS Statistic Turku PS
9 Wins 9
7 Draws 6
7 Losses 9
31 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 26
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
14 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 5
1.63 Shots On Goal 2.05
3.79 Total Shots 5.63
1.68 Corners 2.42
25.2% Ball Possession 26.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Turku PS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

VPS Analysis

With 27 points from 18 games and a place of 6, VPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 23:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 5 times, Turku PS won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from VPS's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92%)
Predicted formations: VPS 3-5-2 / Turku PS 4-3-3
H2H summary: VPS wins 5, draws 4, Turku PS wins 6

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6
VPS Home
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)