Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.6%
|
1.76 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.81 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.95 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
VPS
Turku PS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VPS
23 matches
Turku PS
24 matches
| VPS | Statistic | Turku PS |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 31 | Goals For | 28 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 1.63 | Shots On Goal | 2.05 |
| 3.79 | Total Shots | 5.63 |
| 1.68 | Corners | 2.42 |
| 25.2% | Ball Possession | 26.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Turku PS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 27 points from 18 games and a place of 6, VPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Turku PS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 23:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 5 times, Turku PS won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from VPS's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Lineups
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Gnistan
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
PK-35
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Ilves
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Umeå FC
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
EIF
Turku PS
SJK
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
VPS
Home
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Turku PS
Away
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|