FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Lemonsoft Stadion
Referee: J. Vuorinen
VPS
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
🔄
38'
Jonathan Muzinga ↔ Henri Salomaa
VPS
🟨
45+2'
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
45+3'
Albijon Muzaci
Turku PS
45'
Timo Zaal
Turku PS
🔄
46'
Antti-Ville Räisänen ↔ Xavier Odhiambo
VPS
🟨
52'
Charlemagne Azongnitode
Turku PS
🟨
53'
Pau Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
61'
Nikolas Talo ↔ Miika Kauppila
Turku PS
🟨
62'
Xavier Odhiambo
VPS
🔄
75'
Marius Könkkölä ↔ Luke Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
75'
Pau Juvanteny ↔ Lasse Ikonen
Turku PS
🔄
75'
Kian Visser ↔ Nils Veinbergs
Turku PS
76'
Xavier Odhiambo · Assist: Henri Salomaa
VPS
🔄
79'
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ Casper Holmelund
VPS
🔄
79'
Xavier Odhiambo ↔ Dren Terrnava
VPS
80'
Nils Veinbergs · Assist: Miika Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
87'
Simon Lindholm ↔ Yassin Daoussi
VPS
🟨
88'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
🟥
88'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
🔄
90'
Timo Zaal ↔ Tomi Vakiparta
Turku PS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.76
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.6%
1.76
BTTS Yes
71%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.81
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.95
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
VPS Win 78.6%
Draw 13.4%
Turku PS Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VPS1.24
Turku PS1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
VPS VPS
WWDLW
31 GF / 23 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
10
1.63
Shots on Goal
2.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VPS VPS 23 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 24 matches
VPS Statistic Turku PS
9 Wins 9
7 Draws 6
7 Losses 9
31 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 26
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
14 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 5
1.63 Shots On Goal 2.05
3.79 Total Shots 5.63
1.68 Corners 2.42
25.2% Ball Possession 26.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Turku PS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

VPS Analysis

With 27 points from 18 games and a place of 6, VPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 23:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 5 times, Turku PS won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from VPS's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92%)
Predicted formations: VPS 3-5-2 / Turku PS 4-3-3
H2H summary: VPS wins 5, draws 4, Turku PS wins 6

Lineups

VPS
Formation
Turku PS
Mamadou Jalloh
Mamadou Jalloh
Lassana Mané
Lassana Mané
Emmanuel Okereke
Emmanuel Okereke
Martti Haukioja
Martti Haukioja
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
Antti-Ville Räisänen
Antti-Ville Räisänen
Paulo Lima
Paulo Lima
Jayden Turfkruier
Jayden Turfkruier
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
Jonathan Muzinga
Jonathan Muzinga
Simon Lindholm
Simon Lindholm
Elmo Henriksson
Elmo Henriksson
Oscar Haggstrom
Oscar Haggstrom
Charlemagne Azongnitode
Charlemagne Azongnitode
Matej Hradecky
Matej Hradecky
Nikolas Talo
Nikolas Talo
Timo Zaal
Timo Zaal
Marius Könkkölä
Marius Könkkölä
Pau Juvanteny
Pau Juvanteny
Albijon Muzaci
Albijon Muzaci
Elmer Vauhkonen
Elmer Vauhkonen
Kian Visser
Kian Visser
VPS 4-5-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
41
Mamadou Jalloh
G
2
Lassana Mané
D
6
Emmanuel Okereke
🟨 28' 🟨 88' 🟥 88'
D
19
Martti Haukioja
D
13
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
🟨 45+2'
D
34
Antti-Ville Räisänen
↓ 46'
M
8
Paulo Lima
M
7
Jayden Turfkruier
M
27
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
↓ 79'
M
11
Jonathan Muzinga
↓ 38'
F
14
Simon Lindholm
↓ 87'
M
Substitutes
25
Henri Salomaa
🎯 76' ↑ 38'
M
20
Xavier Odhiambo
⚽ 76' ↑ 46' ↓ 79' 🟨 62'
F
17
Dren Terrnava
M
9
Casper Holmelund
↑ 79'
F
24
Yassin Daoussi
↑ 87'
M
12
Lucas Väyrynen
G
3
Razak Simpson
D
23
Miika Niemi
D
30
Joonas Vahtera
M
Turku PS 5-4-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
Elmo Henriksson
G
2
Oscar Haggstrom
D
15
Charlemagne Azongnitode
🟨 52'
D
14
Matej Hradecky
D
24
Nikolas Talo
↓ 61'
D
22
Timo Zaal
⚽ 45' ↓ 90'
M
10
Marius Könkkölä
↓ 75'
M
6
Pau Juvanteny
↓ 75' 🟨 53'
D
29
Albijon Muzaci
⚽ 45+3'
M
11
Elmer Vauhkonen
M
99
Kian Visser
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
20
Miika Kauppila
🎯 80' ↑ 61'
D
26
Lasse Ikonen
↑ 75'
M
9
Luke Ivanovic
↑ 75'
F
44
Nils Veinbergs
⚽ 80' ↑ 75'
F
28
Tomi Vakiparta
↑ 90'
M
30
Niklas Harju
G
17
Atte Sihvonen
D
7
Rasmus Harjanne
F
Last matches: VPS
08.08.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
3
1
W
02.08.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
Last matches: Turku PS
09.08.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
1
D
01.08.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
3
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
1
3
L
11.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
3
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
1
3
L
27.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
H2H: VPS vs Turku PS
14.08.26
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
3
L
30.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
L
14.03.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
L
08.10.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
3
W
01.09.21
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
2
L
05.05.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
1
D
17.08.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
4
1
L
04.07.18
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
2
0
W
07.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
W
25.08.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
20.07.14
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
0
D
19.04.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
0
W
18.08.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
2
1
L
16.06.13
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
20.04.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
W
Last matches: VPS
02.08.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
1
L
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
20.03.26
Fri
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
VPS
Umeå FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: VPS
14.08.26
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
3
L
01.09.21
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.07.18
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
2
0
W
25.08.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
19.04.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
0
W
16.06.13
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
Last matches: Turku PS
09.08.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
1
D
26.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
1
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
H2H away: Turku PS
14.08.26
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
3
W
01.09.21
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
2
W
04.07.18
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
2
0
L
25.08.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
19.04.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
0
L
16.06.13
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.77
Draw 3.88
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.44
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.59
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 2.75 2.02
Over 3.0 2.36
Over 3.25 2.67
Over 3.5 2.96
Over 4.5 5.60
Under 1.5 4.11
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.45
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.64
Under 3.25 1.51
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 4.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.70
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.60
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.51
Draw 3.74
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.04
Draw 2.20
Home 2.26
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.45
Draw 2.62
Home 2.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.27
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.57
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 2.75 1.97
Over 3.0 2.22
Over 3.25 2.50
Over 3.5 2.76
Over 3.75 3.34
Over 4.0 4.45
Over 4.25 4.79
Over 4.5 5.10
Over 4.75 6.44
Over 5.0 9.10
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.10
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 9.10
Under 1.25 5.10
Under 1.5 3.72
Under 1.75 3.32
Under 2.0 2.95
Under 2.25 2.36
Under 2.5 2.01
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.42
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.24
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 3.90
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.30
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.35
Draw 2.70
Home 1.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.18
Over 3.25 2.45
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 3.75 3.25
Over 4.0 4.25
Over 4.25 4.60
Over 4.5 4.80
Over 4.75 6.00
Over 5.0 8.50
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.79
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.05

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 7 1 36:18 18 43
W D W W W
2 20 10 8 2 28:16 12 38
W D W L D
3 20 10 4 6 32:23 9 34
W W L W W
4 20 9 5 6 32:26 6 32
W D L W W
5
VPS Home
20 8 6 6 28:21 7 30
L W L L L
6 20 9 3 8 24:25 -1 30
L L W D L
7 20 8 5 7 27:22 5 29
W D W L L
8 20 7 5 8 23:18 5 26
L D W L W
9 20 7 4 9 33:34 -1 25
L W L W W
10 20 4 6 10 24:31 -7 18
L D W L L
11 20 3 6 11 18:41 -23 15
L L L W D
12 20 1 5 14 11:41 -30 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)