Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
VPS
SJK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VPS
18 matches
SJK
19 matches
| VPS | Statistic | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 25 | Goals For | 24 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 1.93 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 4.36 | Total Shots | 5.07 |
| 2 | Corners | 2.14 |
| 26.4% | Ball Possession | 21.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by VPS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. VPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to SJK in 10 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SJK. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
VPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 21 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Smyth (2 goals), with creative support from J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, SJK have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 11 points from 13 matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Elias Mastokangas (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 9 times, SJK won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from VPS's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
VPS
1
3
1
0
0
2
Lineups
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
VPS
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Ilves
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Umeå FC
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Ilves
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
KI Klaksvik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
VPS
Home
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
SJK
Away
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|