Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
VPS
Gnistan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VPS
9 matches
Gnistan
11 matches
| VPS | Statistic | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 8 | Goals For | 9 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0.4 | Shots On Goal | 2.4 |
| 2 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 1.8 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 16.2% | Ball Possession | 39% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by VPS's more proactive style and Gnistan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. VPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 8 points compared to Gnistan in 10 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gnistan. Gnistan arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Gnistan in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
VPS are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 4:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Muzinga (1 goals), P. Lima (1 goals), S. Lindholm (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Gnistan sit 10 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (2 goals), Joakim Latonen (1 goals), S. Eremenko (1 goals), with creative support from A. Craninx (1 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (1 assists), Vertti Hänninen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 5 times, Gnistan won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from VPS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.
VPS
3
3
2
2
3
1
Lineups
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Ilves
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Umeå FC
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
VPS
Home
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Away
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|