Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
27.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
VPS
AC Oulu
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VPS
15 matches
AC Oulu
14 matches
| VPS | Statistic | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 15 | Goals For | 22 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 1 | Shots On Goal | 1.75 |
| 2.73 | Total Shots | 5.25 |
| 1.82 | Corners | 2.08 |
| 19.1% | Ball Possession | 19.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AC Oulu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 22 points while VPS sit 7 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AC Oulu. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and AC Oulu in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Oulu having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 10 matches, VPS have collected 14 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luka Smyth (6 goals), S. Lindholm (2 goals), J. Muzinga (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
AC Oulu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 22 points after 11 matches. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 16:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Karjalainen (7 goals), J. Korkko (4 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), L. Ghezali (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 5 times, AC Oulu won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:23 from VPS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
VPS
9
2
3
3
2
1
Lineups
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
JIPPO
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
KuPS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Ilves
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Umeå FC
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
VPS
Home
|
15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 |
AC Oulu
Away
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|