BRAZIL › SERIE C
10.05.2026 20:00
Raulino de Oliveira
Referee: T. Silva
Volta Redonda
Match Timeline
Ferroviária
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Rogerio Correa
Ferroviária
🟨
21'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟨
25'
Gustavo Medina
Ferroviária
🟨
38'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟥
38'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟨
40'
Bruno Barra
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Caetano ↔ Fellipinho
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Douglas Skilo ↔ Felipe Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
O. Blanco ↔ Ygor Catatau
Volta Redonda
🔄
66'
Rafael Carillho ↔ Alencar
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
Vitor Barreto ↔ Fernandinho
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
Ricardinho ↔ Raoni
Ferroviária
🔄
77'
Pedro Costa ↔ Wellington Silva
Volta Redonda
🔄
77'
MV ↔ Marquinhos
Volta Redonda
🔄
85'
Wagninho ↔ Juliano Fabro
Volta Redonda
🔄
87'
Albano ↔ Guilherme Ferreira
Ferroviária

Volta Redonda vs Ferroviária Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Volta Redonda Win 54.8%
Draw 17.6%
Ferroviária Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Volta Redonda0.92
Ferroviária1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 5 matches
Ferroviária Ferroviária 5 matches
Volta Redonda Statistic Ferroviária
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 7
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ferroviária. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviária having the stronger overall control. Volta Redonda have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Volta Redonda Analysis

Volta Redonda sit 16 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Blanco (1 goals), Pedro Costa (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ferroviária Analysis

Ferroviária sit 14 with 5 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 5:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Allison (2 goals), Denilson (1 goals), Vinni Faria (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Volta Redonda won 0 times, Ferroviária won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Volta Redonda's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Volta Redonda wins 0, draws 3, Ferroviária wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D L L L W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
L D W D D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W W D W L
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D W L W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D L W L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W D D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L D L L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W W W D
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation