BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Raulino de Oliveira
Referee: T. Silva
Volta Redonda
Match Timeline
Ferroviária
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Rogerio Correa
Ferroviária
🟨
21'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟨
25'
Gustavo Medina
Ferroviária
🟨
38'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟥
38'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟨
40'
Bruno Barra
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Caetano ↔ Fellipinho
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Douglas Skilo ↔ Felipe Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
O. Blanco ↔ Ygor Catatau
Volta Redonda
🔄
66'
Rafael Carillho ↔ Alencar
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
Vitor Barreto ↔ Fernandinho
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
Ricardinho ↔ Raoni
Ferroviária
🔄
77'
Pedro Costa ↔ Wellington Silva
Volta Redonda
🔄
77'
MV ↔ Marquinhos
Volta Redonda
🔄
85'
Wagninho ↔ Juliano Fabro
Volta Redonda
🔄
87'
Albano ↔ Guilherme Ferreira
Ferroviária

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Volta Redonda Win 54.8%
Draw 17.6%
Ferroviária Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Volta Redonda0.92
Ferroviária1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 5 matches
Ferroviária Ferroviária 5 matches
Volta Redonda Statistic Ferroviária
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 7
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ferroviária. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviária having the stronger overall control. Volta Redonda have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Volta Redonda Analysis

Volta Redonda sit 16 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Blanco (1 goals), Pedro Costa (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ferroviária Analysis

Ferroviária sit 14 with 5 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 5:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Allison (2 goals), Denilson (1 goals), Vinni Faria (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Volta Redonda won 0 times, Ferroviária won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Volta Redonda's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Volta Redonda wins 0, draws 3, Ferroviária wins 1

Lineups

Volta Redonda
Formation
Ferroviária
Avelino
Avelino
Pedro Costa
Pedro Costa
Bruno Barra
Bruno Barra
Alan
Alan
Juninho Monteiro
Juninho Monteiro
Dener
Dener
Caetano
Caetano
Wagninho
Wagninho
Luciano Naninho
Luciano Naninho
MV
MV
O. Blanco
O. Blanco
Denis Junior
Denis Junior
Lucas Rodrigues
Lucas Rodrigues
Ricardinho
Ricardinho
Albano
Albano
Gustavo Medina
Gustavo Medina
Rafael Carillho
Rafael Carillho
M. Thiago
M. Thiago
Eduardo Oliveira
Eduardo Oliveira
Douglas Skilo
Douglas Skilo
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Vitor Barreto
Vitor Barreto
Volta Redonda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Avelino
16
Pedro Costa
↓ 77'
5
Bruno Barra
🟨 40'
13
Alan
22
Juninho Monteiro
8
Dener
29
Caetano
↓ 46'
17
Wagninho
↓ 85'
10
Luciano Naninho
11
MV
↓ 77'
19
O. Blanco
↓ 66'
Substitutes
45
Deivity
2
Wellington Silva
↑ 77'
4
Fabricio
7
Marquinhos
↑ 77'
9
Ygor Catatau
↑ 66'
14
Rafael Castro
15
Joao Victor
18
Caio Henrique
20
Fellipinho
↑ 46'
23
Matheus Moresche
25
Juliano Fabro
↑ 85'
26
Romarinho
Ferroviária 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
Denis Junior
2
Lucas Rodrigues
🟨 21' 🟨 38' 🟥 38'
5
Ricardinho
↓ 66'
10
Albano
↓ 87'
13
Gustavo Medina
🟨 25'
18
Rafael Carillho
↓ 66'
19
M. Thiago
29
Eduardo Oliveira
36
Douglas Skilo
↓ 46'
40
Ze Vitor
11
Vitor Barreto
↓ 66'
Substitutes
24
I. Carvalho
6
Rhuan
7
Fabio Soares
8
Alencar
↑ 66'
15
Fernandinho
↑ 66'
17
M. Cantarelli
20
David Souza
22
Felipe Rodrigues
↑ 46'
30
Raoni
↑ 66'
33
Pedro Estevam
38
Allison
4
Guilherme Ferreira
↑ 87'
Last matches: Volta Redonda
04.07.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maringá
0
4
L
30.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Amazonas
3
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Confiança
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Brusque
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maranhão
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Caxias
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Paysandu
0
1
L
Last matches: Ferroviária
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Caxias
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Barra
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Amazonas
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Brusque
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
20.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Floresta
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Maringá
2
3
L
H2H: Volta Redonda vs Ferroviária
10.05.26
H2H
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
24.08.25
H2H
Ferroviária
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
22.04.25
H2H
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
19.08.24
H2H
Ferroviária
Volta Redonda
5
1
L
Last matches: Volta Redonda
30.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Amazonas
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Confiança
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Brusque
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Caxias
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Paysandu
0
1
L
H2H at home: Volta Redonda
10.05.26
H2H
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
22.04.25
H2H
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
Last matches: Ferroviária
27.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Amazonas
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Floresta
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Maringá
2
3
L
H2H away: Ferroviária
10.05.26
H2H
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
22.04.25
H2H
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 3 3 20:14 6 24
W L W L D
2 13 6 5 2 23:11 12 23
D D L W W
3 13 6 4 3 16:14 2 22
W D L W W
4 13 6 3 4 13:9 4 21
W W L W D
5 13 6 2 5 19:17 2 20
L L W L L
6 13 5 5 3 13:10 3 20
W D D L W
7 13 6 1 6 17:15 2 19
W W W D W
8 13 5 4 4 26:24 2 19
W D D D L
9 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
L D D D L
10 13 5 4 4 15:14 1 19
D W L L W
11 13 5 4 4 12:11 1 19
L L W W D
12 13 5 3 5 16:17 -1 18
W D W D L
13 13 5 2 6 13:18 -5 17
L L D W L
14 13 5 2 6 10:15 -5 17
L W L W W
15 13 4 4 5 12:18 -6 16
L D D W W
16 13 3 6 4 16:14 2 15
W L D L D
17 13 3 5 5 9:13 -4 14
L D L D D
18 13 3 4 6 11:17 -6 13
W W L D L
19 13 3 2 8 8:12 -4 11
L D W L L
20 13 2 3 8 9:17 -8 9
L D W L D
Play-offs
Relegation