BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Volna Stadium
Volna
Match Timeline
Niva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
R. Kozel
Niva
31'
M. Grechikha
Volna
🟨
43'
V. Dybin
Niva
🔄
56'
A. Kuratnik ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🔄
56'
P. Pampukha ↔ D. Galuza
Niva
🔄
60'
A. Vlasov ↔ V. Kibuk
Volna
🔄
70'
D. Matyash ↔ J. Oreshkevich
Volna
🔄
70'
M. Grechikha ↔ A. Susha
Volna
🟨
71'
A. Susha
Volna
🟨
82'
K. Polkhovskiy
Volna
🔄
83'
V. Bondarenko ↔ E. Mashagin
Niva
🔄
83'
D. Sibilev ↔ M. Druchik
Niva
🔄
85'
E. Nikoporenok ↔ A. Samuylik
Volna
🔄
85'
D. Nizhnik ↔ A. Stroychuk
Volna
🔄
87'
V. Dybin ↔ V. Milyutin
Niva
🟨
88'
D. Lesnyak
Volna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Volna Win 37.2%
Draw 17.1%
Niva Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Volna1.47
Niva1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Volna Volna
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
Niva Niva
WLDWL
19 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
8
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Volna Volna 11 matches
Niva Niva 11 matches
Volna Statistic Niva
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 4
13 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 21
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
8 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Niva's more proactive style and Volna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Niva. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Niva carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while Volna sit 16 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niva having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Niva look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Volna Analysis

Volna sit 16 with 5 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Matyash (4 goals), E. Nikoporenok (2 goals), A. Vlasov (1 goals), with creative support from V. Kibuk (3 assists), E. Nikoporenok (1 assists), A. Vlasov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Niva Analysis

Niva are currently 6 in the standings with 13 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 16:12 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Fedortsov (6 goals), P. Pampukha (3 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (2 assists), D. Sibilev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Volna won 3 times, Niva won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Volna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.14 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
H2H summary: Volna wins 3, draws 1, Niva wins 3

Lineups

No lineup data available
Last matches: Volna
23.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Slutsk
3
2
W
08.05.26
1.
Volna
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Volna
Ostrovets FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Volna
Slonim
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Volna
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
04.04.26
1.
Volna
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Volna
Neman
1
3
L
25.02.26
Fri
Volna
Baranovichi
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Volna
FC Slutsk
2
0
W
Last matches: Niva
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H: Volna vs Niva
28.09.25
H2H
Niva
Volna
2
4
W
26.05.25
H2H
Volna
Niva
0
5
L
29.09.24
H2H
Niva
Volna
1
2
W
03.06.24
H2H
Volna
Niva
1
1
D
21.02.24
H2H
Volna
Niva
2
3
L
16.08.23
H2H
Niva
Volna
5
2
L
09.04.23
H2H
Volna
Niva
1
0
W
Last matches: Volna
16.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Slutsk
3
2
W
02.05.26
1.
Volna
Ostrovets FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Volna
Slonim
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Volna
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fri
Volna
Baranovichi
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Volna
FC Slutsk
2
0
W
H2H at home: Volna
26.05.25
H2H
Volna
Niva
0
5
L
03.06.24
H2H
Volna
Niva
1
1
D
21.02.24
H2H
Volna
Niva
2
3
L
09.04.23
H2H
Volna
Niva
1
0
W
Last matches: Niva
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H away: Niva
26.05.25
H2H
Volna
Niva
0
5
W
03.06.24
H2H
Volna
Niva
1
1
D
21.02.24
H2H
Volna
Niva
2
3
W
09.04.23
H2H
Volna
Niva
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 19:5 14 22
W W L W W
2 9 7 1 1 23:12 11 22
W W L D W
3 9 6 2 1 19:7 12 20
W W W L W
4 9 4 4 1 21:7 14 16
W D W W L
5 9 5 1 3 18:11 7 16
W W L W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:13 -1 16
D W W W L
7 9 4 2 3 15:16 -1 14
D L L W W
8 8 4 2 2 19:11 8 14
D D W W L
9
Niva Away
9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W W
10 9 3 2 4 10:14 -4 11
L L D L W
11 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L W L W
12 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
W L D L D
13 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 9
L D D L L
14 9 3 0 6 9:22 -13 9
L W W L L
15
Volna Home
9 2 2 5 10:15 -5 8
W L W L D
16 9 1 4 4 13:20 -7 7
L D D L W
17 9 0 4 5 7:18 -11 4
D L L D L
18 9 0 1 8 9:28 -19 1
L L L L L