NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
19.09.2026 14:30
GelreDome

Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vitesse Win 35.8%
Draw 31.2%
Jong PSV U21 Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitesse1.58
Jong PSV U211.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitesse Vitesse
WWDLW
13 GF / 11 GA
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
WLDWL
14 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
4.83
Shots on Goal
6.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitesse Vitesse 10 matches
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 8 matches
Vitesse Statistic Jong PSV U21
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
13 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 16
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
4.83 Shots On Goal 6.43
16 Total Shots 15.71
5 Corners 5.43
50.8% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Vitesse's more proactive style and Jong PSV U21's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jong PSV U21. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vitesse Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Vitesse have collected 10 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:7 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Bannis (6 goals), F. de Carvalho (1 goals), A. Sellouf (1 goals), with creative support from F. de Carvalho (2 assists), N. Bannis (1 assists), M. Schikora (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Jong PSV U21 Analysis

Jong PSV U21 are currently 6 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Jones (3 goals), F. Kluit (2 goals), S. Cornecion (2 goals), with creative support from F. Kluit (2 assists), S. Sidibe (2 assists), J. Koller (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Vitesse won 2 times, Jong PSV U21 won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Vitesse's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (68.8%)
Predicted formations: Vitesse 4-2-3-1 / Jong PSV U21 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitesse wins 2, draws 0, Jong PSV U21 wins 2

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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