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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
23.10.2026 18:00
GelreDome

Vitesse vs Emmen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vitesse Win 38.5%
Draw 15.1%
Emmen Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitesse1.48
Emmen1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitesse Vitesse
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Emmen Emmen
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
11
4.18
Shots on Goal
6.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitesse Vitesse 15 matches
Emmen Emmen 15 matches
Vitesse Statistic Emmen
6 Wins 8
4 Draws 1
5 Losses 6
19 Goals For 30
18 Goals Against 27
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
4.18 Shots On Goal 6.64
15.18 Total Shots 17.91
5.55 Corners 6.64
46.9% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Emmen's more proactive style and Vitesse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Emmen. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Vitesse have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitesse expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Emmen in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emmen having the stronger overall control.

Vitesse Analysis

With 14 points from 10 games and a place of 10, Vitesse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Bannis (9 goals), F. de Carvalho (2 goals), A. Sellouf (2 goals), with creative support from N. Bannis (3 assists), F. de Carvalho (3 assists), M. Schikora (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Emmen Analysis

Emmen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 19 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 22:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Quispel (7 goals), J. Cooper (6 goals), M. Breij (2 goals), with creative support from L. Everink (4 assists), J. Cooper (3 assists), B. Van Hove (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Vitesse won 6 times, Emmen won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from Vitesse's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Vitesse 4-4-2 / Emmen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitesse wins 6, draws 5, Emmen wins 1

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6
Emmen Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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