JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Noevir Stadium
Referee: K. Takasaki
Vissel Kobe
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
Y. Suzuki · Assist: A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
43'
A. Esaka · Assist: K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
44'
Werik Popó
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
T. Yamakawa ↔ Diego
Vissel Kobe
🔄
46'
K. Nagato ↔ D. Sasaki
Vissel Kobe
🔄
46'
Y. Goke ↔ Caetano
Vissel Kobe
🔄
46'
Werik Popo ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
67'
R. Hirose ↔ K. Hamasaki
Vissel Kobe
🔄
72'
Y. Ideguchi ↔ R. Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
🔄
78'
A. Esaka ↔ R. Sueyoshi
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
85'
K. Shirai ↔ K. Abe
Fagiano Okayama
89'
T. Kimura · Assist: R. Sueyoshi
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
90+2'
T. Yamane ↔ R. Takeuchi
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
90+2'
T. Kimura ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vissel Kobe Win 75.4%
Draw 0%
Fagiano Okayama Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vissel Kobe1.56
Fagiano Okayama1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
17 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
8
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
6
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 14 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 matches
Vissel Kobe Statistic Fagiano Okayama
7 Wins 4
5 Draws 6
2 Losses 6
23 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 23
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
8 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.07
13.43 Total Shots 11.53
4.93 Corners 5.13
54.1% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vissel Kobe's more proactive style and Fagiano Okayama's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Vissel Kobe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Fagiano Okayama in 8 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vissel Kobe expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fagiano Okayama in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fagiano Okayama having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fagiano Okayama. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vissel Kobe Analysis

Vissel Kobe come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 28 points after 14 matches. The return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 25:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Komatsu (5 goals), Y. Muto (4 goals), K. Nagato (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sasaki (3 assists), R. Komatsu (2 assists), Yosuke Ideguchi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Fagiano Okayama Analysis

Fagiano Okayama are currently 8 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, while the 19:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Werik Popo (3 goals), A. Esaka (2 goals), M. Matsumoto (2 goals), with creative support from A. Esaka (2 assists), Towa Yamane (2 assists), K. Shirai (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Vissel Kobe won 3 times, Fagiano Okayama won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Vissel Kobe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Vissel Kobe 4-3-3 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Vissel Kobe wins 3, draws 1, Fagiano Okayama wins 2
Stats
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 5
3 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 3
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
589 Total passes 200
496 Passes accurate 119
1.64 expected_goals 0.80
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vissel Kobe
Formation
Fagiano Okayama
S. Gonda
S. Gonda
G. Sakai
G. Sakai
T. Yamakawa
T. Yamakawa
M. Thuler
M. Thuler
Y. Goke
Y. Goke
Y. Ideguchi
Y. Ideguchi
Y. Kuwasaki
Y. Kuwasaki
K. Nagato
K. Nagato
Y. Muto
Y. Muto
R. Hirose
R. Hirose
Y. Osako
Y. Osako
T. Hamada
T. Hamada
H. Omori
H. Omori
Y. Tatsuta
Y. Tatsuta
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
K. Shirai
🎯
K. Shirai
E. Miyamoto
E. Miyamoto
K. Ogura
K. Ogura
T. Yamane
T. Yamane
T. Kimura
T. Kimura
A. Esaka
🎯
A. Esaka
Werik Popo
Werik Popo
Vissel Kobe 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
71
S. Gonda
G
24
G. Sakai
D
4
T. Yamakawa
↓ 46'
D
3
M. Thuler
D
5
Y. Goke
↓ 46'
M
7
Y. Ideguchi
↓ 72'
M
25
Y. Kuwasaki
M
41
K. Nagato
↓ 46'
M
11
Y. Muto
F
23
R. Hirose
↓ 67'
F
10
Y. Osako
F
Substitutes
1
D. Maekawa
G
29
R. Komatsu
↑ 72'
F
2
N. Iino
D
19
M. Mitsuta
F
15
Diego
↑ 46'
D
13
D. Sasaki
↑ 46'
F
16
Caetano
↑ 46'
D
44
M. Hidaka
M
28
K. Hamasaki
↑ 67'
M
Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
52
T. Hamada
G
6
H. Omori
D
48
Y. Tatsuta
D
43
Y. Suzuki
⚽ 28'
D
51
K. Shirai
🎯 43' ↓ 85'
M
41
E. Miyamoto
M
5
K. Ogura
M
88
T. Yamane
↓ 90+2'
M
27
T. Kimura
⚽ 89' ↓ 90+2'
F
8
A. Esaka
⚽ 43' 🎯 28' ↓ 78'
F
98
Werik Popo
↓ 46' 🟨 44'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Moser
G
28
M. Matsumoto
M
7
R. Takeuchi
↑ 90+2'
M
99
Lucao
↑ 46'
F
4
K. Abe
↑ 85'
D
66
J. Nishikawa
M
17
R. Sueyoshi
🎯 89' ↑ 78'
M
45
N. Browne
M
9
Leo Gaucho
↑ 90+2'
Last matches: Vissel Kobe
06.06.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
0
2
L
30.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
5
0
W
23.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
2
2
D
13.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
0
5
L
29.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
11.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
3
2
W
05.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
4
1
W
01.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
27.03.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
22.03.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
3
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
W
21.02.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Shimizu S-pulse
0
1
L
13.02.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
06.02.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
08.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
01.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
0
1
L
H2H: Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama
10.05.26
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
0
3
L
05.04.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
W
20.07.25
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
2
W
03.05.25
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
W
03.07.13
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
0
L
28.04.13
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
3
3
D
Last matches: Vissel Kobe
30.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
5
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
11.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Nagoya Grampus
3
2
W
01.04.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
27.03.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
27.02.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
W
13.02.26
J1
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vissel Kobe
10.05.26
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
0
3
L
03.05.25
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
W
28.04.13
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
3
3
D
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
0
1
L
H2H away: Fagiano Okayama
10.05.26
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
0
3
W
03.05.25
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
L
28.04.13
H2H
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
3
3
D

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)