ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Comunale
Referee: M. Fabbri
Virtus Entella
Match Timeline
Carrarese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
M. Tirelli
Virtus Entella
🟨
37'
Julián Illanes
Carrarese
🟨
45'
Filippo Melegoni
Carrarese
🔄
46'
F. Abiuso ↔ M. Finotto
Carrarese
🔄
46'
N. Belloni ↔ J. Rouhi
Carrarese
46'
L. Cuppone
Virtus Entella
🟨
49'
Davide Bariti
Virtus Entella
50'
S. Zanon
Carrarese
🟨
56'
Luigi Cuppone
Virtus Entella
🔄
58'
D. Bariti ↔ F. Mezzoni
Virtus Entella
🔄
58'
N. Squizzato ↔ L. Benedetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
60'
F. Melegoni ↔ L. Hasa
Carrarese
🔄
69'
J. Illanes ↔ D. Bouah
Carrarese
🟨
74'
Mattia Tirelli
Virtus Entella
🔄
74'
M. Tirelli ↔ A. Debenedetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
83'
F. Di Stefano ↔ E. Torregrossa
Carrarese
🔄
87'
L. Cuppone ↔ M. Nichetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
87'
S. Di Mario ↔ M. Alborghetti
Virtus Entella

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Virtus Entella Win 59.5%
Draw 0%
Carrarese Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Virtus Entella1.15
Carrarese1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
WWDLW
39 GF / 51 GA
Carrarese Carrarese
WLDWL
46 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
20
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
18
3.49
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 39 matches
Carrarese Carrarese 38 matches
Virtus Entella Statistic Carrarese
10 Wins 10
13 Draws 14
16 Losses 14
39 Goals For 46
51 Goals Against 52
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
20 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 15
3.49 Shots On Goal 3.92
12.18 Total Shots 13.29
4.95 Corners 5.66
45.1% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carrarese. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Virtus Entella Analysis

Virtus Entella approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 39 points from 37 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 34:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andrea Tiritiello (7 goals), A. Franzoni (6 goals), L. Cuppone (5 goals), with creative support from N. Karic (4 assists), B. Guiu (4 assists), Tommaso Fumagalli (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carrarese Analysis

Carrarese are currently 11 in the standings with 44 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses, while the 46:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Abiuso (11 goals), N. Schiavi (6 goals), Luis Hasa (5 goals), with creative support from S. Zanon (6 assists), F. Abiuso (5 assists), Emanuele Zuelli (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Entella won 5 times, Carrarese won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Virtus Entella's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Virtus Entella 3-5-2 / Carrarese 3-5-2
H2H summary: Virtus Entella wins 5, draws 3, Carrarese wins 4
Stats
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
Carrarese Carrarese
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 5
16 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
339 Total passes 462
260 Passes accurate 373
1.48 expected_goals 0.48
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Virtus Entella
Formation
Carrarese
F. Del Frate
F. Del Frate
L. Parodi
L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello
A. Tiritiello
I. Marconi
I. Marconi
D. Bariti
D. Bariti
N. Karic
N. Karic
N. Squizzato
N. Squizzato
A. Franzoni
A. Franzoni
S. Di Mario
S. Di Mario
L. Cuppone
L. Cuppone
M. Tirelli
M. Tirelli
M. Bleve
M. Bleve
F. Ruggeri
F. Ruggeri
J. Illanes
J. Illanes
F. Oliana
F. Oliana
S. Zanon
S. Zanon
F. Melegoni
F. Melegoni
N. Schiavi
N. Schiavi
E. Zuelli
E. Zuelli
N. Belloni
N. Belloni
F. Abiuso
F. Abiuso
F. Di Stefano
F. Di Stefano
Virtus Entella 3-5-2
Starting XI
22
F. Del Frate
G
23
L. Parodi
D
6
A. Tiritiello
D
15
I. Marconi
D
7
D. Bariti
↓ 58' 🟨 49'
M
8
N. Karic
M
5
N. Squizzato
↓ 58'
M
24
A. Franzoni
M
26
S. Di Mario
↓ 87'
M
10
L. Cuppone
⚽ 46' ↓ 87' 🟨 56'
F
17
M. Tirelli
⚽ 24' ↓ 74'
Substitutes
1
S. Colombi
G
99
O. Siaulys
G
4
M. Nichetti
↑ 87'
M
77
A. Boccadamo
D
94
F. Mezzoni
↑ 58'
D
32
L. Benedetti
↑ 58'
M
46
R. Turicchia
D
9
D. P. Stabile
F
27
M. Dalla Vecchia
M
3
M. Alborghetti
↑ 87'
D
57
T. Del Lungo
D
19
A. Debenedetti
↑ 74'
F
Carrarese 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
M. Bleve
G
26
F. Ruggeri
D
4
J. Illanes
↓ 69' 🟨 37'
D
6
F. Oliana
D
72
S. Zanon
⚽ 50'
M
8
F. Melegoni
↓ 60' 🟨 45'
M
18
N. Schiavi
M
17
E. Zuelli
M
7
N. Belloni
↓ 46'
M
9
F. Abiuso
↓ 46'
F
28
F. Di Stefano
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
99
V. Fiorillo
G
32
M. Finotto
↑ 46'
F
78
T. Guercio
D
25
D. Lordkipanidze
M
21
T. Rubino
F
92
E. Torregrossa
↑ 83'
F
44
N. Sekulov
F
70
L. Hasa
↑ 60'
M
73
J. Rouhi
↑ 46'
D
77
G. Parlanti
M
13
D. Bouah
↑ 69'
M
75
S. Liberali
M
Last matches: Virtus Entella
01.05.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Bari
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Padova
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Empoli
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Venezia
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Mantova
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Pescara
0
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Avellino
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
1
0
W
03.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Modena
2
1
W
27.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Monza
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
1
3
L
14.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Palermo
0
3
L
10.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Cesena
3
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Spezia
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Frosinone
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
0
1
L
16.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Monza
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Venezia
0
1
L
Last matches: Carrarese
01.05.26
Ser
Carrarese
Cesena
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Frosinone
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Pescara
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Reggiana
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Spezia
3
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Bari
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Sampdoria
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Palermo
0
1
L
04.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Catanzaro
3
3
D
01.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Mantova
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Monza
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Modena
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Padova
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Sudtirol
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Venezia
1
2
L
23.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Empoli
3
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Avellino
2
1
W
10.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Bari
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Carrarese
Mantova
0
0
D
H2H: Virtus Entella vs Carrarese
08.05.26
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
2
1
W
14.12.25
H2H
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
3
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
3
L
30.09.23
H2H
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
2
0
L
22.01.23
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
4
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
1
D
18.09.22
H2H
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
3
1
L
07.03.22
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
3
0
W
24.10.21
H2H
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
04.05.19
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
0
W
26.12.18
H2H
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
0
2
W
Last matches: Virtus Entella
25.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Padova
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Venezia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Reggiana
3
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Avellino
1
2
L
03.03.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Modena
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
1
3
L
10.02.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Cesena
3
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Frosinone
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ser
Virtus Entella
Monza
1
0
W
21.12.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Spezia
0
1
L
22.11.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Palermo
1
1
D
01.11.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Empoli
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Pescara
1
1
D
17.10.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria
3
1
W
30.09.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Bari
2
2
D
14.09.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Mantova
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
Virtus Entella
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
09.08.25
Cop
Virtus Entella
Ternana
4
0
W
H2H at home: Virtus Entella
08.05.26
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
2
1
W
28.07.24
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
3
L
22.01.23
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
4
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
1
D
07.03.22
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
3
0
W
04.05.19
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
0
W
Last matches: Carrarese
25.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Frosinone
0
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Reggiana
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Bari
3
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
01.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Mantova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Modena
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Padova
0
1
L
31.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Venezia
1
2
L
17.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Avellino
2
1
W
20.12.25
Ser
Carrarese
Monza
1
4
L
07.12.25
Ser
Carrarese
Sampdoria
2
3
L
29.11.25
Ser
Carrarese
Palermo
0
5
L
08.11.25
Ser
Carrarese
Sudtirol
1
1
D
28.10.25
Ser
Carrarese
Cesena
1
2
L
18.10.25
Ser
Carrarese
Pescara
2
2
D
28.09.25
Ser
Carrarese
Empoli
2
2
D
13.09.25
Ser
Carrarese
Catanzaro
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Carrarese
Spezia
2
0
W
18.08.25
Cop
Carrarese
Udinese
0
2
L
H2H away: Carrarese
08.05.26
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
2
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
0
0
D
10.02.24
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
3
W
22.01.23
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
4
0
L
05.10.22
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
1
D
07.03.22
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
3
0
L
04.05.19
H2H
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation