ITALY › SERIE B
08.05.2026 18:30
Stadio Comunale
Referee: M. Fabbri
Virtus Entella
Match Timeline
Carrarese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
M. Tirelli
Virtus Entella
🟨
37'
Julián Illanes
Carrarese
🟨
45'
Filippo Melegoni
Carrarese
🔄
46'
F. Abiuso ↔ M. Finotto
Carrarese
🔄
46'
N. Belloni ↔ J. Rouhi
Carrarese
⚽
46'
L. Cuppone
Virtus Entella
🟨
49'
Davide Bariti
Virtus Entella
⚽
50'
S. Zanon
Carrarese
🟨
56'
Luigi Cuppone
Virtus Entella
🔄
58'
D. Bariti ↔ F. Mezzoni
Virtus Entella
🔄
58'
N. Squizzato ↔ L. Benedetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
60'
F. Melegoni ↔ L. Hasa
Carrarese
🔄
69'
J. Illanes ↔ D. Bouah
Carrarese
🟨
74'
Mattia Tirelli
Virtus Entella
🔄
74'
M. Tirelli ↔ A. Debenedetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
83'
F. Di Stefano ↔ E. Torregrossa
Carrarese
🔄
87'
L. Cuppone ↔ M. Nichetti
Virtus Entella
🔄
87'
S. Di Mario ↔ M. Alborghetti
Virtus Entella

Virtus Entella vs Carrarese Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Virtus Entella Win 59.5%
Draw 0%
Carrarese Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Virtus Entella1.15
Carrarese1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
WWDLW
39 GF / 51 GA
Carrarese Carrarese
WLDWL
46 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
20
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
18
3.49
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 39 matches
Carrarese Carrarese 38 matches
Virtus Entella Statistic Carrarese
10 Wins 10
13 Draws 14
16 Losses 14
39 Goals For 46
51 Goals Against 52
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
20 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 15
3.49 Shots On Goal 3.92
12.18 Total Shots 13.29
4.95 Corners 5.66
45.1% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carrarese. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Virtus Entella Analysis

Virtus Entella approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 39 points from 37 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 34:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andrea Tiritiello (7 goals), A. Franzoni (6 goals), L. Cuppone (5 goals), with creative support from N. Karic (4 assists), B. Guiu (4 assists), Tommaso Fumagalli (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carrarese Analysis

Carrarese are currently 11 in the standings with 44 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses, while the 46:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Abiuso (11 goals), N. Schiavi (6 goals), Luis Hasa (5 goals), with creative support from S. Zanon (6 assists), F. Abiuso (5 assists), Emanuele Zuelli (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Entella won 5 times, Carrarese won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Virtus Entella's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Virtus Entella 3-5-2 / Carrarese 3-5-2
H2H summary: Virtus Entella wins 5, draws 3, Carrarese wins 5

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation