UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vipers
Match Timeline
URA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
R. Otti
URA
50'
A. Usama
Vipers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vipers Win 93.5%
Draw 0%
URA Win 6.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vipers1.61
URA0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vipers Vipers
WWDLW
49 GF / 13 GA
URA URA
WLDWL
22 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
13
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vipers Vipers 25 matches
URA URA 26 matches
Vipers Statistic URA
17 Wins 4
8 Draws 13
0 Losses 9
49 Goals For 22
13 Goals Against 28
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
13 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vipers's more proactive style and URA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward URA. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vipers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 59 points compared to URA in 11 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward URA having the stronger overall control.

Vipers Analysis

Placed 1 with 59 points from 26 outings, Vipers continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 49:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Watambala (10 goals), A. Usama (8 goals), M. Karisa (6 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

URA Analysis

So far, URA have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 25 points from 26 matches. The record of 4 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 22:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Living (5 goals), F. Amaku (4 goals), M. Aliro (3 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vipers won 8 times, URA won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Vipers's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Vipers wins 8, draws 3, URA wins 4
Last matches: Vipers
23.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
Last matches: URA
22.05.26
Pre
URA
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
URA
KCCA
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
URA
Maroons
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
URA
UPDF
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
URA
BUL
1
1
D
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
11.03.26
Pre
URA
Lugazi
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
2
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
URA
Police
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
0
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
H2H: Vipers vs URA
08.05.26
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
24.01.26
H2H
URA
Vipers
0
3
W
11.02.25
H2H
Vipers
URA
2
0
W
22.11.24
H2H
URA
Vipers
0
2
W
30.03.24
H2H
URA
Vipers
0
2
W
23.11.23
H2H
Vipers
URA
2
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
26.11.22
H2H
URA
Vipers
0
1
W
12.04.22
H2H
URA
Vipers
0
3
W
27.11.21
H2H
Vipers
URA
0
2
L
12.05.21
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
URA
Vipers
2
1
L
21.02.20
H2H
URA
Vipers
3
1
L
12.11.19
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
0
W
19.04.19
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
2
L
Last matches: Vipers
23.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
5
1
W
29.11.25
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
0
W
H2H at home: Vipers
08.05.26
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
11.02.25
H2H
Vipers
URA
2
0
W
23.11.23
H2H
Vipers
URA
2
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Vipers
URA
0
2
L
12.05.21
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
12.11.19
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
0
W
19.04.19
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
2
L
Last matches: URA
22.05.26
Pre
URA
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
URA
UPDF
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
21.11.25
Pre
URA
KCCA
1
2
L
05.11.25
Pre
URA
Maroons
0
0
D
22.10.25
Pre
URA
Lugazi
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pre
URA
BUL
0
0
D
H2H away: URA
08.05.26
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
11.02.25
H2H
Vipers
URA
2
0
L
23.11.23
H2H
Vipers
URA
2
0
L
22.04.23
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Vipers
URA
0
2
W
12.05.21
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
12.11.19
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
0
L
19.04.19
H2H
Vipers
URA
1
2
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11
URA Away
30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League