SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio de la Ceramica
Referee: M. Busquets
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Sevilla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
G. Moreno · Assist: G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
20'
G. Mikautadze · Assist: A. Moleiro
Villarreal
36'
Oso · Assist: L. Agoume
Sevilla
45'
K. Salas · Assist: R. Vargas
Sevilla
🔄
60'
P. Gueye ↔ T. Partey
Villarreal
🔄
60'
N. Pepe ↔ T. Buchanan
Villarreal
🔄
68'
R. Vargas ↔ J. Sanchez
Sevilla
🔄
70'
D. Parejo ↔ S. Comesana
Villarreal
🔄
70'
G. Mikautadze ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🔄
72'
N. Maupay ↔ A. Sanchez
Sevilla
72'
A. Adams · Assist: D. Sow
Sevilla
🟨
81'
Ayoze Pérez
Villarreal
🔄
86'
D. Sow ↔ N. Gudelj
Sevilla
🔄
86'
A. Adams ↔ Castrin
Sevilla
🟨
90+2'
Renato Veiga
Villarreal
🟨
90+3'
José Ángel Carmona
Sevilla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 8.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
8.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
15.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 98.4%
Draw 0%
Sevilla Win 1.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.62
Sevilla1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
77 GF / 60 GA
Sevilla Sevilla
WLDWL
49 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
26
BTTS Yes
23
27
Over 2.5
22
4.72
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 46 matches
Sevilla Sevilla 38 matches
Villarreal Statistic Sevilla
22 Wins 13
8 Draws 7
16 Losses 18
77 Goals For 49
60 Goals Against 59
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
26 BTTS Yes 23
40 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 22
16 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 9
4.72 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.39 Total Shots 11.16
4.33 Corners 4.87
45.1% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Villarreal's more proactive style and Sevilla's more cautious structure. Sevilla seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sevilla. Villarreal arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 69 points compared to Sevilla in 13 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Villarreal Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 69 points from 35 games, Villarreal bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 21 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a 65:40 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Mikautadze (11 goals), A. Moleiro (10 goals), G. Moreno (9 goals), with creative support from N. Pepe (6 assists), Santi Comesaña (6 assists), G. Mikautadze (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Foyth, A. Perez unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sevilla Analysis

Sevilla are currently 13 in the standings with 40 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, while the 43:56 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Adams (9 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), A. Sanchez (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (5 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), D. Sow (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with G. Suazo, Marcao, I. Romero unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 7 times, Sevilla won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:20 from Villarreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Sevilla 4-4-2
Missing players: Villarreal 2, Sevilla 3
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 7, draws 4, Sevilla wins 4
Stats
Villarreal Villarreal
Sevilla Sevilla
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
553 Total passes 326
499 Passes accurate 276
0.83 expected_goals 0.87
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Villarreal
Formation
Sevilla
A. Tenas
A. Tenas
A. Freeman
A. Freeman
P. Navarro
P. Navarro
R. Veiga
R. Veiga
A. Pedraza
A. Pedraza
N. Pepe
N. Pepe
D. Parejo
D. Parejo
P. Gueye
P. Gueye
A. Moleiro
🎯
A. Moleiro
G. Moreno
G. Moreno
G. Mikautadze
🎯
G. Mikautadze
O. Vlachodimos
O. Vlachodimos
J. A. Carmona
J. A. Carmona
C. Azpilicueta
C. Azpilicueta
K. Salas
K. Salas
G. Suazo
G. Suazo
Oso
Oso
R. Vargas
🎯
R. Vargas
L. Agoume
🎯
L. Agoume
D. Sow
🎯
D. Sow
A. Adams
A. Adams
N. Maupay
N. Maupay
Villarreal 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
A. Tenas
G
3
A. Freeman
D
6
P. Navarro
D
12
R. Veiga
🟨 90+2'
D
24
A. Pedraza
D
19
N. Pepe
↓ 60'
M
10
D. Parejo
↓ 70'
M
18
P. Gueye
↓ 60'
M
20
A. Moleiro
🎯 20'
M
7
G. Moreno
⚽ 13'
F
9
G. Mikautadze
⚽ 20' 🎯 13' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
1
Luiz Junior
G
14
S. Comesana
↑ 70'
M
2
L. Costa
D
23
S. Cardona
D
5
W. Kambwala
D
15
S. Mourino
D
16
T. Partey
↑ 60'
M
22
A. Perez
↑ 70' 🟨 81'
F
11
A. Gonzalez
F
17
T. Buchanan
↑ 60'
F
4
R. Marin
D
21
T. Oluwaseyi
F
Sevilla 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
O. Vlachodimos
G
2
J. A. Carmona
🟨 90+3'
D
3
C. Azpilicueta
D
4
K. Salas
⚽ 45'
D
12
G. Suazo
D
36
Oso
⚽ 36'
D
11
R. Vargas
🎯 45' ↓ 68'
M
18
L. Agoume
🎯 36'
M
20
D. Sow
🎯 72' ↓ 86'
M
9
A. Adams
⚽ 72' ↓ 86'
F
17
N. Maupay
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Nyland
G
10
A. Sanchez
↑ 72'
F
6
N. Gudelj
↑ 86'
M
21
C. Ejuke
F
5
T. Nianzou
D
15
F. Cardoso
D
24
A. Januzaj
M
8
Joan Jordan
M
19
B. Mendy
M
14
Peque
F
16
J. Sanchez
↑ 68'
M
32
Castrin
↑ 86'
D
Last matches: Villarreal
24.05.26
La
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1
W
17.05.26
La
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
10.05.26
La
Villarreal
Mallorca
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
5
1
W
26.04.26
La
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
23.04.26
La
Villarreal
Oviedo
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Villarreal
Athletic Club
2
1
W
06.04.26
La
Villarreal
Girona
0
1
L
20.03.26
La
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
13.03.26
La
Villarreal
Alaves
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Villarreal
Elche
2
1
W
28.02.26
La
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
4
L
22.02.26
La
Villarreal
Valencia
2
1
W
18.02.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Villarreal
Getafe
1
2
L
09.02.26
La
Villarreal
Espanyol
4
1
W
31.01.26
La
Villarreal
Osasuna
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
0
3
L
24.01.26
La
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
2
L
20.01.26
UEF
Villarreal
Ajax
1
2
L
Last matches: Sevilla
23.05.26
La
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
17.05.26
La
Sevilla
Real Madrid
0
1
L
09.05.26
La
Sevilla
Espanyol
2
1
W
04.05.26
La
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Sevilla
Osasuna
1
2
L
23.04.26
La
Sevilla
Levante
0
2
L
11.04.26
La
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Sevilla
Oviedo
0
1
L
21.03.26
La
Sevilla
Valencia
0
2
L
15.03.26
La
Sevilla
Barcelona
2
5
L
08.03.26
La
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Sevilla
Real Betis
2
2
D
22.02.26
La
Sevilla
Getafe
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Sevilla
Alaves
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Sevilla
Girona
1
1
D
02.02.26
La
Sevilla
Mallorca
1
4
L
24.01.26
La
Sevilla
Athletic Club
2
1
W
19.01.26
La
Sevilla
Elche
2
2
D
12.01.26
La
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
04.01.26
La
Sevilla
Levante
0
3
L
H2H: Villarreal vs Sevilla
13.05.26
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3
L
23.09.25
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
1
2
W
25.05.25
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
4
2
W
23.08.24
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
1
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
3
2
W
03.12.23
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
2
1
L
18.09.22
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.05.22
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
1
0
L
16.05.21
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
4
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
2
0
L
22.06.20
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
2
D
15.12.19
H2H
Sevilla
Villarreal
1
2
W
17.02.19
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
3
0
W
Last matches: Villarreal
24.05.26
La
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1
W
02.05.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
5
1
W
26.04.26
La
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
20.03.26
La
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Villarreal
Elche
2
1
W
22.02.26
La
Villarreal
Valencia
2
1
W
09.02.26
La
Villarreal
Espanyol
4
1
W
24.01.26
La
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
2
L
20.01.26
UEF
Villarreal
Ajax
1
2
L
10.01.26
La
Villarreal
Alaves
3
1
W
21.12.25
La
Villarreal
Barcelona
0
2
L
10.12.25
UEF
Villarreal
FC Copenhagen
2
3
L
06.12.25
La
Villarreal
Getafe
2
0
W
22.11.25
La
Villarreal
Mallorca
2
1
W
01.11.25
La
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
4
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Villarreal
Manchester City
0
2
L
18.10.25
La
Villarreal
Real Betis
2
2
D
01.10.25
UEF
Villarreal
Juventus
2
2
D
27.09.25
La
Villarreal
Athletic Club
1
0
W
20.09.25
La
Villarreal
Osasuna
2
1
W
H2H at home: Villarreal
13.05.26
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3
L
25.05.25
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
4
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
3
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.05.22
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
1
1
D
16.05.21
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
4
0
W
22.06.20
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
2
D
17.02.19
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
3
0
W
Last matches: Sevilla
23.05.26
La
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
26.04.26
La
Sevilla
Osasuna
1
2
L
23.04.26
La
Sevilla
Levante
0
2
L
05.04.26
La
Sevilla
Oviedo
0
1
L
15.03.26
La
Sevilla
Barcelona
2
5
L
01.03.26
La
Sevilla
Real Betis
2
2
D
22.02.26
La
Sevilla
Getafe
1
0
W
02.02.26
La
Sevilla
Mallorca
1
4
L
19.01.26
La
Sevilla
Elche
2
2
D
20.12.25
La
Sevilla
Real Madrid
0
2
L
17.12.25
Cop
Sevilla
Alaves
0
1
L
07.12.25
La
Sevilla
Valencia
1
1
D
04.12.25
Cop
Sevilla
Extremadura 1924
2
1
W
24.11.25
La
Sevilla
Espanyol
1
2
L
01.11.25
La
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0
3
L
28.10.25
Cop
Sevilla
Toledo
4
1
W
24.10.25
La
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
1
2
L
28.09.25
La
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
20.09.25
La
Sevilla
Alaves
2
1
W
30.08.25
La
Sevilla
Girona
2
0
W
H2H away: Sevilla
13.05.26
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3
W
25.05.25
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
4
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
3
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.05.22
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
1
1
D
16.05.21
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
4
0
L
22.06.20
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
2
D
17.02.19
H2H
Villarreal
Sevilla
3
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Villarreal 2 missing
-
P. Cabanes
Missing Fixture Convalescence
OUT
-
J. Foyth
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
Sevilla 3 missing
-
Marcao
Missing Fixture Wrist Injury
OUT
-
I. Romero
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Bueno
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT