Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
98.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
8.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
15.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Villarreal
Sevilla
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Villarreal
46 matches
Sevilla
38 matches
| Villarreal | Statistic | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 18 |
| 77 | Goals For | 49 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 40 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.72 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 13.39 | Total Shots | 11.16 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4.87 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Villarreal's more proactive style and Sevilla's more cautious structure. Sevilla seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sevilla. Villarreal arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 69 points compared to Sevilla in 13 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Operating from 3 place with 69 points from 35 games, Villarreal bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 21 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a 65:40 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Mikautadze (11 goals), A. Moleiro (10 goals), G. Moreno (9 goals), with creative support from N. Pepe (6 assists), Santi Comesaña (6 assists), G. Mikautadze (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Foyth, A. Perez unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Sevilla are currently 13 in the standings with 40 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, while the 43:56 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Adams (9 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), A. Sanchez (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (5 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), D. Sow (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with G. Suazo, Marcao, I. Romero unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 7 times, Sevilla won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:20 from Villarreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Villarreal
4
5
1
3
1
5
Lineups
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Mallorca
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Oviedo
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Girona
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal
Barcelona
Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Espanyol
Villarreal
Osasuna
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Ajax
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Oviedo
Sevilla
Valencia
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Real Betis
Sevilla
Getafe
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Girona
Sevilla
Mallorca
Sevilla
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Elche
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Levante
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal
Espanyol
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Ajax
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal
Barcelona
Villarreal
FC Copenhagen
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Mallorca
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Manchester City
Villarreal
Real Betis
Villarreal
Juventus
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Osasuna
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
Oviedo
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
Real Betis
Sevilla
Getafe
Sevilla
Mallorca
Sevilla
Elche
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Valencia
Sevilla
Extremadura 1924
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Toledo
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Girona
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Villarreal
Home
|
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Sevilla
Away
|
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|