SPAIN LA LIGA
13.05.2026 17:00
Estadio de la Ceramica
Referee: M. Busquets
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Sevilla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
G. Moreno · Assist: G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
20'
G. Mikautadze · Assist: A. Moleiro
Villarreal
36'
Oso · Assist: L. Agoume
Sevilla
45'
K. Salas · Assist: R. Vargas
Sevilla
🔄
60'
P. Gueye ↔ T. Partey
Villarreal
🔄
60'
N. Pepe ↔ T. Buchanan
Villarreal
🔄
68'
R. Vargas ↔ J. Sanchez
Sevilla
🔄
70'
D. Parejo ↔ S. Comesana
Villarreal
🔄
70'
G. Mikautadze ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🔄
72'
N. Maupay ↔ A. Sanchez
Sevilla
72'
A. Adams · Assist: D. Sow
Sevilla
🟨
81'
Ayoze Pérez
Villarreal
🔄
86'
D. Sow ↔ N. Gudelj
Sevilla
🔄
86'
A. Adams ↔ Castrin
Sevilla
🟨
90+2'
Renato Veiga
Villarreal
🟨
90+3'
José Ángel Carmona
Sevilla

Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 8.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
8.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
15.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 98.4%
Draw 0%
Sevilla Win 1.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.62
Sevilla1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
77 GF / 60 GA
Sevilla Sevilla
WLDWL
49 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
26
BTTS Yes
23
27
Over 2.5
22
4.72
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 46 matches
Sevilla Sevilla 38 matches
Villarreal Statistic Sevilla
22 Wins 13
8 Draws 7
16 Losses 18
77 Goals For 49
60 Goals Against 59
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
26 BTTS Yes 23
40 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 22
16 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 9
4.72 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.39 Total Shots 11.16
4.33 Corners 4.87
45.1% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Villarreal's more proactive style and Sevilla's more cautious structure. Sevilla seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sevilla. Villarreal arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 69 points compared to Sevilla in 13 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Villarreal Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 69 points from 35 games, Villarreal bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 21 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a 65:40 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Mikautadze (11 goals), A. Moleiro (10 goals), G. Moreno (9 goals), with creative support from N. Pepe (6 assists), Santi Comesaña (6 assists), G. Mikautadze (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Foyth, A. Perez unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sevilla Analysis

Sevilla are currently 13 in the standings with 40 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, while the 43:56 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Adams (9 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), A. Sanchez (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (5 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), D. Sow (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with G. Suazo, Marcao, I. Romero unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 7 times, Sevilla won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:20 from Villarreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Sevilla 4-4-2
Missing players: Villarreal 2, Sevilla 3
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 7, draws 4, Sevilla wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2