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13.12.2026 16:00
Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.85
Rayo Vallecano1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
L L W W L
10 GF / 12 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
W W L D D
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
2.07
12
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
12
5
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 20 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 15 matches
Villarreal Statistic Rayo Vallecano
8 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 7
34 Goals For 23
33 Goals Against 31
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 2.07
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 12
11 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 5.27
14.81 Total Shots 16.55
6.06 Corners 6.09
52.8% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 8 times, Rayo Vallecano won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:14 from Villarreal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 8, draws 3, Rayo Vallecano wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 10 0 1 46:12 34 30
W L W W W
2 11 9 1 1 22:8 14 28
W W W W W
3 11 9 0 2 28:10 18 27
W W W W L
4 11 7 2 2 18:15 3 23
W D L W D
5 11 6 1 4 20:20 0 19
L W W W W
6 11 5 2 4 17:19 -2 17
L W L D L
7 10 4 3 3 14:10 4 15
W W L D D
8 11 3 5 3 15:14 1 14
W L D L D
9 11 3 3 5 15:15 0 12
L W D L W
10 11 2 6 3 10:10 0 12
L D W D W
11 11 3 3 5 15:17 -2 12
L D L L D
12 10 3 3 4 15:20 -5 12
W L D D W
13 11 3 3 5 8:16 -8 12
W L D L W
14 11 3 2 6 13:14 -1 11
W L L D L
15 11 3 2 6 11:22 -11 11
L L W L D
16 11 3 2 6 15:29 -14 11
L W L D L
17 11 2 4 5 14:18 -4 10
L W D D W
18 11 2 4 5 16:21 -5 10
L L W D D
19 11 2 3 6 8:17 -9 9
W L D D L
20 11 0 5 6 8:21 -13 5
L D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2