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17.10.2026 18:00
Genacio Salice Stadium
Villa San Carlos
Match Timeline
Villa Dalmine
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
N. Agorreca
Villa San Carlos
🔄
46'
M. Britos ↔ P. Spampinato
Villa Dalmine
🔄
55'
M. Morales ↔ V. Gargiulo
Villa Dalmine
🔄
55'
G. Torres ↔ P. Oro
Villa Dalmine
⚽
62'
R. Salinas
Villa San Carlos
⚽
66'
A. Lugones
Villa San Carlos
🔄
71'
V. Carlucci ↔ M. Solis
Villa Dalmine
🔄
71'
S. Prim ↔ T. Ponzo
Villa Dalmine
🟨
73'
F. Farias
Villa San Carlos
🔄
75'
S. Canete ↔ A. Martinez
Villa San Carlos
🔄
75'
F. Mussis ↔ R. Alvarez
Villa San Carlos
🔄
75'
R. Salinas ↔ M. Plastino
Villa San Carlos
🔄
81'
F. Farias ↔ S. Fabi
Villa San Carlos
🔄
81'
A. Lugones ↔ J. Villagra
Villa San Carlos

Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Villa San Carlos Win 54.7%
Draw 4.9%
Villa Dalmine Win 40.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa San Carlos0.82
Villa Dalmine1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
L W W D D
3 GF / 5 GA
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
D L D W L
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
15
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 39 matches
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 39 matches
Villa San Carlos Statistic Villa Dalmine
11 Wins 17
14 Draws 14
14 Losses 8
37 Goals For 39
43 Goals Against 24
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
15 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 20
19 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Villa Dalmine's more proactive style and Villa San Carlos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Villa Dalmine. Villa Dalmine carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 64 points while Villa San Carlos sit 13 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Villa Dalmine arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa Dalmine having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos sit 13 with 47 points after 38 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 37:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Villa Dalmine approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 64 points from 38 matches. Their record of 17 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 38:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Villa San Carlos won 2 times, Villa Dalmine won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Villa San Carlos's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Villa San Carlos wins 2, draws 3, Villa Dalmine wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 24 9 9 69:33 36 81
L W D W L
2 42 21 14 7 56:28 28 77
D W D W L
3 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W L D W W
4 42 20 11 11 46:27 19 71
L W L D L
5 42 19 13 10 50:35 15 70
W L W D L
6 42 18 14 10 40:28 12 68
L W L D L
7 42 18 12 12 45:41 4 66
D W D L W
8 42 17 12 13 43:40 3 63
D L D D W
9 42 15 15 12 40:35 5 60
W L D D D
10 42 15 14 13 51:53 -2 59
D W W D W
11 42 12 15 15 41:46 -5 51
D L W L W
12 42 12 15 15 43:49 -6 51
L L D L W
13 42 13 11 18 39:45 -6 50
W W L L L
14 42 13 10 19 40:50 -10 49
D W W W D
15 42 11 16 15 40:55 -15 49
D L W D D
16 42 11 15 16 36:43 -7 48
W L D D W
17 42 10 17 15 33:41 -8 47
L W L D D
18 42 11 14 17 42:51 -9 47
L L L L L
19 42 10 16 16 35:41 -6 46
D W D L D
20 42 10 16 16 26:38 -12 46
W L D W D
21 42 8 21 13 28:38 -10 45
W W D W W
22 42 1 14 27 28:69 -41 17
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)