06.09.2026 18:00
Genacio Salice Stadium
Villa San Carlos
Match Timeline
Brown DE Adrogue
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
64'
B. Lopez ↔ B. Baez
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
70'
A. Ortiz ↔ B. Guerrero
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
71'
E. Melillo ↔ S. Fabi
Villa San Carlos
🔄
71'
F. Mussis ↔ A. Ponton
Villa San Carlos
🟨
76'
B. Guerrero
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
77'
L. Cesare ↔ A. Castano
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
77'
M. Sproat ↔ F. Ferrario
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
90'
F. Farias ↔ Z. Zegarra
Villa San Carlos

Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds 2.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
2.69
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.6%
2.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Villa San Carlos Win 77.1%
Draw 7.3%
Brown DE Adrogue Win 15.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa San Carlos1.04
Brown DE Adrogue0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WWDLW
34 GF / 38 GA
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WLDWL
21 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.64
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
14
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 33 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 33 matches
Villa San Carlos Statistic Brown DE Adrogue
9 Wins 7
11 Draws 12
13 Losses 14
34 Goals For 21
38 Goals Against 35
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
14 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brown DE Adrogue having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Brown DE Adrogue. Villa San Carlos come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos sit 15 with 38 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats with a 34:37 goal balance points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

Brown DE Adrogue approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 32 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 20:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Villa San Carlos won 3 times, Brown DE Adrogue won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Villa San Carlos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
H2H summary: Villa San Carlos wins 3, draws 3, Brown DE Adrogue wins 5

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)