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24.10.2026 20:00
Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini

Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Villa Dalmine Win 66.3%
Draw 11.7%
San Martín Burzaco Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa Dalmine1.04
San Martín Burzaco0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WLDWL
41 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.98
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
12
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 40 matches
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 40 matches
Villa Dalmine Statistic San Martín Burzaco
17 Wins 12
14 Draws 15
9 Losses 13
39 Goals For 41
27 Goals Against 45
0.98 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
12 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 29
10 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 6
20 Clean Sheets 15
17 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Villa Dalmine's more proactive style and San Martín Burzaco's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martín Burzaco having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Martín Burzaco.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Villa Dalmine arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 65 points after 39 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses, while the 39:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

From their first 39 matches, San Martín Burzaco have collected 50 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 40:44 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dalmine won 1 times, San Martín Burzaco won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Villa Dalmine's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
H2H summary: Villa Dalmine wins 1, draws 2, San Martín Burzaco wins 2

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 23 9 8 64:31 33 78
D W L W W
2 40 20 13 7 53:26 27 73
D W L W L
3 40 19 12 9 47:29 18 69
D W W W D
4 40 19 11 10 42:26 16 68
L D L W D
5 40 18 13 9 47:32 15 67
W D L L L
6 40 17 14 9 39:27 12 65
L D L D W
7 40 17 11 12 42:38 4 62
D D W W W
8 40 17 11 12 42:39 3 62
D L W L W
9 40 14 15 11 39:34 5 57
D D D D W
10 40 14 13 13 49:52 -3 55
W D W L L
11 40 12 15 13 41:45 -4 51
D L W L W
12 40 12 14 14 40:43 -3 50
W L W W D
13 40 11 15 14 39:53 -14 48
W D D L W
14 40 11 14 15 41:45 -4 47
L L L W D
15 40 10 15 15 33:41 -8 45
D D W L L
16 40 12 9 19 36:48 -12 45
W W D L L
17 40 11 11 18 36:44 -8 44
L L L L W
18 40 9 17 14 32:40 -8 44
L D D D D
19 40 9 16 15 25:37 -12 43
D W D W D
20 40 9 15 16 33:40 -7 42
D L D W L
21 40 6 21 13 23:36 -13 39
D W W D L
22 40 1 14 25 27:64 -37 17
D D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)