19.09.2026 20:00
Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini

Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.4%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Villa Dalmine Win 80.4%
Draw 9%
Ituzaingó Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa Dalmine1.26
Ituzaingó0.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WWDLW
35 GF / 20 GA
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WLDWL
22 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.61
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
10
BTTS Yes
16
8
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 35 matches
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 36 matches
Villa Dalmine Statistic Ituzaingó
16 Wins 1
12 Draws 12
7 Losses 23
35 Goals For 22
20 Goals Against 59
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
10 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 26
8 Over 2.5 15
2 Over 3.5 8
19 Clean Sheets 8
14 Failed To Score 19
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Villa Dalmine's more proactive style and Ituzaingó's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ituzaingó arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Villa Dalmine arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 60 points compared to Ituzaingó in 22 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituzaingó having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ituzaingó.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Placed 5 with 60 points from 34 outings, Villa Dalmine continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 35:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ituzaingó Analysis

With 14 points from 34 games and a place of 22, Ituzaingó still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 11 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 20:53, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dalmine won 1 times, Ituzaingó won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Villa Dalmine's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
H2H summary: Villa Dalmine wins 1, draws 0, Ituzaingó wins 0

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)