ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Villa Dalmine Win 57.6%
Draw 11%
Arsenal Sarandi Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa Dalmine0.9
Arsenal Sarandi0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WWDLW
35 GF / 16 GA
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WLDWL
44 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 33 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 33 matches
Villa Dalmine Statistic Arsenal Sarandi
16 Wins 16
12 Draws 12
5 Losses 5
35 Goals For 44
16 Goals Against 22
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
10 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 5
19 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Arsenal Sarandi. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Sarandi having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Villa Dalmine approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 59 points after 32 outings. With 16 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 57 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 41:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dalmine won 0 times, Arsenal Sarandi won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Villa Dalmine's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
H2H summary: Villa Dalmine wins 0, draws 1, Arsenal Sarandi wins 1

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 16 12 5 35:16 19 60
D D W W L
5 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 35:37 -2 47
W L L W W
9 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 33 10 11 12 30:32 -2 41
D L D D W
13 33 9 13 11 31:36 -5 40
L W L D L
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 33 9 11 13 34:38 -4 38
L W W W W
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 9 8 16 28:39 -11 35
W L W D D
19 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
20 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)